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Why are Homes so Expensive?

Published On: September 16, 2015 at 3:56 pm

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It is a harsh fact, but many young people today will never own their own home in this country, despite it being the aspiration of most.

Getting onto the property ladder, buying a small house and gradually moving to a nicer area and bigger home is the dream for the majority of people.

In the early 1980s, just half of the population owned their own home. The other half rented – 30% in social housing from their local council and 20% from private landlords.

When Margaret Thatcher introduced Right to Buy, those living in council homes could buy their properties and subsequently saw the value of their discounted purchases increase rapidly. This turned housing into an investment, rather than shelter and a stable lifestyle. However, councils stopped building houses, partly due to financial difficulties, but also because more people were interested in buying than renting.

Since then, we’ve landed in a housing crisis. Houses are now extortionate in many parts of the country and wage growth has not kept pace with inflation, or increased by as much as house prices. The young, suffering the most, have seen their earnings and borrowing allowances hit the hardest.

At the same time, most new private-sector jobs are in London, where house prices have spiralled.

Why are Homes so Expensive?

Why are Homes so Expensive?

In July, the average UK house price was £282,000, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS). For Londoners, this is measly – the average house price in the capital is currently £525,000.

However, the average UK worker, who earns £24,648 per year, including bonuses, can only afford a house costing £110,000 with a mortgage worth 4.5 times their salary. Finding a job that pays this and a home that costs this little is tough. Add in saving for a deposit while paying market rents, and the task is virtually impossible.

Then there’s the fact that Britain is not building enough homes to meet the demand. This is partly caused by a brick shortage that began before the recession and a lack of skill in the industry. British workers often don’t aspire to be builders and we’re not bringing in skilled workers from abroad.

But throughout this crisis, there are many people that profit from rising house prices. Private companies land bank so that they can hold land and see its price increase; this also pushes up house prices.

The greatest expansion in housing is within the private rental sector, which is the least likely area to increase homeownership in Britain. Young people cannot save enough money for a deposit and the main cause of this is expensive rents.

But if you’re a landlord, keeping people renting is a good thing. Investors can make good profits while expanding their portfolios.

Again, homes are being viewed as investment opportunities, bringing in more investors. There’s a high proportion of new build properties in London that are being bought and left empty, while their values rise and the buyer sits tight. Meanwhile, families wait on housing lists or are forced out of the city.

It is not just the supply and demand problem that’s pushing prices up. When homes are expensive, people will work to keep them expensive. Buy-to-let landlords, with high capital, buy properties and rent them out at high costs and investors buy up land and new build homes in the knowledge that their profits will be higher than any other investment. This is keeping families and individuals priced out of homeownership.

And then there are the regional differences. In England and Wales, the average house costs 8.8 times the average salary. In the City of Westminster, it is 24 times the local salary, compared to 12 times ten years ago. Every part of England and Wales has seen the house price to local salary ratio rise since 2002.

But people want to buy; renting conditions can be poor, but still demand high rents.

A shortage of housing supply is causing panic, with prospective buyers and tenants queuing outside properties and having to make offers that they cannot really afford in order to secure a home.

Prices continuously rise and the landlords owning one in five properties in the UK see their profits soar at the same time. This indicates just how many homes investors own – only 2% of the population are landlords.

Now it’s a case of waiting for the crisis to come to a halt. With high house prices come a whole host of problems – lower birth rates, more people moving abroad and a dampening on the economy, as less people purchase homes.

For prices to come down, someone will have to lose out. Will it be the landlords, or generation rent?

Average FTB deposit rises to £32k

Published On: September 16, 2015 at 10:23 am

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Prospective first-time buyers have been dealt a further blow, with the news that the average deposit for a home has risen to £31,807.

The latest Genworth/Moneyfacts Mortgage LTV Tracker shows that the average deposit for initial purchasers rose to 20% at the end of Q2. This was the largest amount for 12 months. The average first-time buyer house is now valued at £159,035.[1]

Decrease in lending

Despite the assistance offered by the Help to Buy scheme, lending is decreasing, with the average deposit up from a low of 16% recorded in October last year. Analysis by private mortgage insurer Genworth found June’s average deposit of 20% to be the same as that in June 2013, before the Help to Buy scheme was launched.

When house price increases over the past two years are considered, the average deposit has grown by 9%, or £2,557, up from £29,250.[1]

Currently, the average deposit size is equivalent to 81% of an average first-time buyer’s annual income of £39,065, showing the difficulty that many face in saving up for a home.[1]

For all buyers, the typical LTV for house purchase loans also fell by 2%, from 77% in May to 75% in June. This means that an average deposit of 25% is required as access to growing LTV lending has an impact on not only first-time buyers, but also those looking to move up the housing ladder.[1]

Narrowing

Gaps between 75% and 95% LTV mortgage have also narrowed since the beginning of the year, as a result of tumbling interest rates. In January 2015, the price difference was 71%, but this has since dropped to 69%.[1]

However, this figures remains high and means that those who cannot save for a larger deposit will have charges 69% higher than those who have access to a 25% deposit.[1]

For a typical first-time buyer property of £159,053, those with a 25% deposit are faced with a fixed payment of £500 per month. This is in comparison to £846 for those who can raise just a 5% deposit.[1]

Average repayments, based on a house purchase worth £159,035 were found to be:

75% LTV loan 95% LTV loan Extra cost/saving at 95% LTV (%)  Extra cost/saving at 95% LTV (£)
Deposit £39,763 £7,953 80% saving £31,811 saving
Loan £119,290 £151,100 27% extra borrowing £31,811 extra borrowing
Interest rate 1.9 4.57
Monthly fixed payment £500 £846 69% £346
Fixed term cost £12,000 £20,307 69% £8,307

[1]

Rising products, falling rates

More evidence of the dominance of low LTV lending is apparent with the number of products for those with bigger deposits growing at a quicker rate than the total of new high LTV products. The number of products at 75% and 80% LTV increased by 280 and 200 respectively in the year to August. This was in comparison to 580 to 860 75% LTV products and 593 to 793 for 80% LTV mortgages.[1]

Comparatively, the total of 95% LTV mortgages increased by just 42, to 192 products over the same timeframe. Despite this slower growth, the number of 95% LTV mortgages in August is the highest since March 2015.[1]

Average FTB deposit rises to £32k

Average FTB deposit rises to £32k

‘Despite record low interest rates over the past few months, the lingering price gap between 75% and 95% LTV mortgages means those unable to stump up a 25% deposit-averaging almost £32,000-face far higher monthly costs,’ said Simon Crone, Genworth Vice President-Mortgage Insurance Europe. ‘For many, a deposit of more than 5% is simply not an option and failure to encourage lending at this level is resulting in a massive shortfall in first-time buyers,’ he continued.[1]

‘Rising house prices and a lack of supply are exacerbating the situation and leave hopeful first-time buyers scrambling to save a deposit as quickly as possible, before the dream of homeownership gets any further out of reach. Help to Buy has encouraged greater availability of high LTV products but a rise in the average first-time buyer deposit shows limited take up and a lack of enthusiasm to offer high LTV mortgages from many lenders. While building societies in particular are doing more than their fair share in this part of the market, it requires a concerted effort and commitment from right across the lending fraternity. Help to Buy 2 is due to finish at the end of 2016 at which point lenders will no longer be incentivised to lend at this level; unless a long-term solution can be found the shortfall in first-time buyers is set to increase,’ Crone added.[1]

Affordable

Crone believes that, ‘the only way to overcome this and support the ambitions of homeownership is affordable mortgages-those requiring just 5% or 10% deposits-are made available permanently through greater use of private mortgage insurance by transferring the Help to Buy scheme to the private sector.’ He went on to suggest that, ‘through use of private mortgage insurance, more building societies have already been able to support many first-time buyers by increasing the number that are able to access 95% LTV mortgages.’[1]

‘Before Help to Buy comes to an end, this needs to extend to banks, who are typically more reliant on the government scheme, so that access to these loans does not tail off,’ he concluded.[1]

[1] http://www.propertyreporter.co.uk/hero/avererage-ftb-deposit-now-32k.html

 

 

Council Homes Sold at 70% Discount

Published On: September 14, 2015 at 3:20 pm

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Categories: Landlord News

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Council homes have been sold at values up to seven years out of date and at discounts larger than intended when the right to buy scheme was first introduced, according to a study by The Guardian.

Despite a chronic shortage of affordable housing, councils have sold off over 130,000 properties in the last ten years at discounts of up to 70% of their market value. The price reductions have amounted to around £4 billion.

Between 2012-14, the London Borough of Tower Hamlets sold off more than 50 homes using valuations two or more years old, revealed data released under the Freedom of Information Act.

The East London borough sold one two-bedroom flat in 2012 based on a price from seven years earlier, missing out on a 30% price increase in that area over the period.

Including a discount, the borough also sold a one-bed flat for £42,000, despite its value being £142,000. A two-bed maisonette was sold for £40,000, when it was worth at least £125,000.

Tower Hamlets blames the out of date valuations on “a backlog of applications due to resourcing issues”, which it says has now been cleared.

A spokesperson says: “Accordingly, the time lag between valuations and completions has reduced.”1

Labour’s housing spokesperson at the London Assembly, Tom Copley, estimates that every other home sold under right to buy in Tower Hamlets is now being rented out rather than owner-occupied.

According to a study by Inside Housing, 38% of council properties sold off through right to buy across 91 local authorities are being let out in the private rental sector.

Council Homes Sold at 70% Discount

Council Homes Sold at 70% Discount

The Prime Minister, David Cameron, is currently preparing to extend the right to buy scheme to 1.3m housing association tenants. He wishes to “turn tenants into homeowners and reduce housing benefit bills”.1 

However, opponents argue that the existing scheme has been exploited, with some tenants receiving huge discounts and the country suffering from a lack of affordable housing.

The Shadow Communities Secretary, Emma Reynolds, says the use of old valuations is “deeply concerning”1 and warns that the Government’s plan to extend the scheme to housing association tenants will make the low-cost housing crisis even worse.

This summer, a two-bed former council flat sold for 22 times the price it sold for in 1997, when it was first sold under right to buy.

The property in Keppel House on Fulham Road, West London, sold for £1m, but was sold off in 1997 by the London Borough of Kensington and Chelsea for just £45,600, including a 50% discount. Four years later, its former tenants sold it for a £200,000 profit and it was sold again in 2007 for £418,000, shows Land Registry data.

Further investigations reveal that more than a third of council homes sold through the scheme are now in the private rental sector, rather than occupied by their former council tenants.

A Department for Communities and Local Government spokesperson defends the scheme, but says councils must sell properties based on their current value.

They add: “We want to ensure that anyone who works hard and aspires to own their own home has the opportunity to do so.

“We expect councils and housing associations to abide by the clear and detailed rules set out in legislation and sell their properties based on open market value.”1

Housing associations have urged ministers to revise the plan to extend the policy, stating that 60% of people think it is unfair that social housing tenants will receive discounts while private renters will not.

In another Freedom of Information response, the London Borough of Sutton revealed that it has sold off several flats at a 70% discount, allowing one tenant to buy a £173,000 home for just £70,000.

70% discounts are permitted under the scheme for tenants who have lived in their homes for many years, but critics claim this is too high. The Government has said that it will cap discounts in the new policy at £75,000, “to prevent excessive windfalls to social tenants”.1

Executive Member for Housing at Islington Council, James Murray, insists: “It’s absurd. The system has given away huge sums of public assets and replacement homes have not been built. In many cases, it has effectively led to social landlords being replaced by private ones.”1

When Margaret Thatcher launched the scheme in the 1979 Conservative election manifesto, she set the maximum discount at 50%, but in 2013-14, the average was 47%.

In 2012, the government increased the amount of discount that councils could offer, making the policy more affordable for tenants at a time when house prices were spiralling, especially in London and the South East.

Opponents also complain about the lack of replacement affordable housing being built.

The Department for Communities and Local Government reports that it has received £3.58 billion from council homes being sold over the past decade, but admits it is “not possible to set out specifically how the proceeds from the receipts per se are used”, as they are put into the Government’s “pot”.1

In 2013-14, councils sold off more council properties (11,261) than they built homes for social rent (10,840).

The Government insists that every home sold under the extended right to buy policy will be replaced one-for-one.

1 http://www.theguardian.com/society/2015/sep/11/council-houses-have-been-sold-at-70-under-their-market-value?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=twitterfeed

 

 

Housing Minister Pledges to Drive Rogue Landlords Out of the Industry

The Housing Minister, Brandon Lewis, has pledged a crackdown on rogue landlords.

Housing Minister Pledges to Drive Rogue Landlords Out of the Industry

Housing Minister Pledges to Drive Rogue Landlords Out of the Industry

Speaking at the RESI Conference this week, held at the Celtic Manor resort in Newport, Wales, Lewis vowed that the Government is committed to driving rogue landlords out of the industry, without affecting the growth of the buy-to-let market.

Lewis stated: “We will crack down on rogue landlords and drive them out of business.

“But we will never jeopardise the new appetite for investment in this sector with red tape and unnecessary regulation.

“That would simply undo the good work of the last five years – a journey that has taken this country from the brink of bankruptcy to the fastest growing advanced economy in the world.

“Businesses are growing, more people are in work than ever before, and living standards are rising. Our plans for devolution will give cities, towns and counties across the country the power to galvanise their local economies, deliver more homes, and provide a better business environment.”1

His speech follows a Government consultation and technical discussion paper, which focused on targeting rogue landlords and letting agents in the private rental sector.

The Chartered Institute for Environmental Health responded to the consultation, saying a “fundamental review of the entire legislative framework”1 is required to tackle the issue.

The Mayor of London, Boris Johnson, has called for the Government to force property portals to display information about specific letting agent fees.

1 http://www.propertyindustryeye.com/housing-minister-vows-to-drive-rogue-landlords-out-of-business/

RICS report indicates surge in house prices

Published On: September 10, 2015 at 4:29 pm

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The latest RICS Residential Market Survey has indicated that house price inflation is continuing to grow, driven by the mismatch between a fall in new instructions and increased buyer demand.

Rise and fall

As a result, house price inflation has risen in each of the last seven months, after easing towards the back end of last year.

Strong growth has been recorded in East Anglia, Northern Ireland and Yorkshire and Humberside, although a large majority of areas are seeing a rise in price momentum.

Data from the latest report shows that the average house price in England and Wales rose by £1,900 in August. This was the sharpest rise since August last year and takes property prices to their eighth peak this year, with prices currently standing at an average of £282,816 after an annual increase of 4.1%.[1]

In addition, the Index found that overall property sales have fallen below 2013 for the first time this year, following a drop of 14% in the last month. What’s more, the lenders showed that vendor listings have fallen for the seventh consecutive month. New instructions have still not recorded any substantial upturn since mid 2013, which in turn has pushed average stock levels to new lows.[1]

Regional variance

Supply remains tight with the report showing agreed sales increased moderately for the fourth month in a row. Regional movements however varied substantially from the national trends. The West Midlands, the North and the South West all posted a solid growth on transactions, but East Anglia and the North West have seen falls in sales volumes.

Looking to the future, there seems to be a brighter outlook, with all areas of the UK expected to post good sales growth during the coming year. The outlook is particularly good in Scotland and Wales.

68% of RICS respondents still believe current market valuations to be either at or below fair value. Perceptions in East Anglia, London and the South East however differ significantly, with more than half or respondents believing that residential property is overpriced in each of these locations.[1] At the other end of the scale, Northern Ireland, Scotland and the East Midlands have the greatest proportion of respondents who believe prices represent fair value or below at present.

Growth

‘House price growth now firmly has the bit between its teeth and August witnessed the strongest monthly boost for a year,’ said Adrian Gill, director of Reeds Rains and Your Move estate agents. ‘Average property values across England and Wales have jumped 0.7% (equal to £1,876) since July, which is the biggest monthly increase seen since August 2014. So far in 2015, monthly price rises had struggled to break above the 0.5%, so this clearly marks a step up in pace, as a shortfall of summer sellers puts buyers in hot contention for properties.[1]

Gill went on to say that, ‘more importantly, all ten regions of England and Wales are showing annual increases in house prices-the last region to experience a year-on-year fall in property values was Wales in July 2013.’ Continuing, he said, ‘home sales across England and Wales reached 76,700 in August, down 14% on July levels. This should be taken with a pinch a salt – July was an exceptionally strong month for transactions, and activity in August can be seen as balancing this out. But August is also the first time in 2015 to date that property sales have fallen below their equivalent month in 2013. In the three months to July 2015, property sales have dropped 3% year-on-year. Across all of England and Wales, the North is the only region where activity has increased over the period, with home sales up 3% during May to July 2015 compared to the same three months in 2014.’[1]

RICS report indicates surge in house prices

RICS report indicates surge in house prices

‘The nationwide mismatch between sellers putting homes up for sale and buyer demand should warm up measures of growth for the autumn. August represented the twelfth month in succession that the annual rate of growth declined – down steadily from 11.1% in August 2014, to 4.1% last month. But encouragingly, we’re seeing this downtrend start to level-off now, suggesting that the annual rate of price rises may start to pick-up again soon, driven by the strengthening monthly improvements that are emerging. Property price growth in London has been waning most notably recently, but this appears to be following a similar pattern to the nationwide trend, and after bottoming out, we are beginning to see signs that house prices in the capital are starting to gee up. Once again, London and the South East are boosting our overall measures of average annual change for England and Wales as a whole,’ Gill added.[1]

Stark reminder

Andy Sommerville, Director of Search Acumen at RICS, also noted that, ‘agreed sales are chugging away according to the latest RICS data, but speculation around property price hikes is a reminder of the stark gap between pent-up buyer demand and availability of housing stock.’[1]

‘House prices are showing no signs of abating, and the glaring supply shortage desperately needs to be addressed. The reported rise in tenant demand over and above landlord instructions shows the private rental sector is also suffering a squeeze on capacity. The government’s promise of more brownfield development and extra homes is a step in the right direction, but the pledge to deliver 275,000 extra houses by 2020 won’t come close to closing the gap,’ Sommerville continued.[1]

Concluding, Mr Sommerville stated that, ‘For now, rising prices have not dampened interest or buyer enquiries, which means conveyancers can expect fierce competition in the market for the remainder of the year. It looks like being a busy end to the year, so it’s vital that business systems and processes are set up to deliver a quality service offering that exceeds expectations.’[1]

[1] http://www.propertyreporter.co.uk/property/rics-reports-surge-in-house-price-inflation.html

 

 

House Price Growth in All Regions, Reports RICS

Published On: September 10, 2015 at 11:33 am

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House prices are rising in every region of the country, reports the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS), with the trend set to continue.

The RICS monthly residential market survey also found that new buyer enquiries grew for the fifth consecutive month in August.

It adds that after a “sustained period of easing” towards the end of 2014, house price growth has now quickened consistently for the past seven months.

The strongest growth was experienced in East Anglia, Northern Ireland and Yorkshire and the Humber. However, the report adds: “The vast majority of areas are seeing a sizeable increase in values.”

House Price Growth in All Regions, Reports RICS

House Price Growth in All Regions, Reports RICS

Terry Brannen, of Brannen & Partners in Newcastle, reported to the RICS: “Strong sales figures for this time of year proves confidence is still present in the marketplace.”1

Alex McNeil, of Bramleys in Huddersfield, claimed: “Market activity has been maintained during the summer months with stock levels gradually dwindling. The sustained demand has been a recipe for capital growth.”1

The study says that once again, house price inflation is the result of the lasting trend of declining new sales instructions and increasing buyer demand. It predicts that prices will rise by 6% over the rest of the year.

Chris Beeby, of Bletsoes estate agent in Thrapston, Northamptonshire, told the RICS: “A real lack of fresh instructions still stifling the market. Looking forward to the end of the holiday season and hoping for a good autumn market.”1 

New vendor listings dropped for the seventh month in a row, although the rate of that decrease seems to be falling moderately.

This means that there has not been a marked rise in monthly new instruction levels since mid-2013, causing average stock levels to drop to record lows.

The study found that regional sales varied significantly.

The West Midlands, the North of England and the South West all reported solid growth, however, East Anglia and the North West saw a drop in sales volumes.

In the future, the RICS expects to see “significant sales growth”1 in all parts of the UK over the next 12 months, with the estimate looking particularly strong for Wales and Scotland.

In the lettings sector, the RICS found that tenant demand grew for the eighth consecutive month. As a consequence, rents are expected to increase in the near future. It adds that over the next five years, UK-wide rents are forecast to rise by 4.5% per year.

Jeremy Fisher, from The Frost Partnership in Beaconsfield, says: “Beaconsfield is seeing an upturn in both tenant and landlord activity with the quality of both very good.”1

Separately, the latest e.surv Mortgage Monitor revealed that there were 69,220 house purchase approvals in August, up by 9.3% annually.

There was also a 0.7% increase in purchases compared to July this year and 12,000 small deposit mortgages were approved – a post-recession record.

1 http://www.propertyindustryeye.com/rics-house-prices-increasing-in-all-regions/