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Tax Changes Will Push Landlords Out of the Market, Reports Savills

Tax Changes Will Push Landlords Out of the Market, Reports Savills

Tax Changes Will Push Landlords Out of the Market, Reports Savills

The plans to cut buy-to-let landlords’ tax breaks, announced in the summer Budget, are likely to push investors out of the market, believes Savills.

In a recent report, the property firm states that landlords’ earnings will drop substantially.

Savills predicts that a landlord with a 70% loan-to-value (LTV) mortgage would potentially suffer a cash loss after tax, even if their property delivers a gross yield of 6%.

Its calculations reveal that the loss, based on a £200,000 home bought in 2020, could be £3,180 if the gross yield is 3%, £2,280 on a gross yield of 4%, £1,380 on a yield of 5% and £480 on a 6% yield. On a 7% gross yield, the landlord would make a profit of just £420.

In another example, Savills shows that a property today worth £214,000 on a mortgage of £115,560 and with a gross rental yield of £10,700 per year makes a net surplus income of £2,562 after borrowing, as tax relief on mortgage interest is fully deductible.

However, from 2020 – when the tax change is fully enforced – the value of the property will have gone up to around £255,302, and the rent up to £12,894. However, the landlord’s net surplus income after borrowing will go down to £949.

Savills’ report arrived at four main conclusions:

  • Many investors will sell off parts of their portfolios and a “large number”1 will not expand.
  • Some will move over to lower value, higher yielding sectors.
  • Although the Government is pushing homeownership, demand for private rental accommodation will continue growing.
  • However, private landlords may not be able to meet this demand.

1 http://www.propertyindustryeye.com/new-tax-regime-will-push-landlords-out-of-the-sector-says-savills/

 

 

London is World Leader for Luxury Property

London has overtaken New York City and every other major city in the world on prices and sales in the prime property market in the last five years, according to a recent report by Knight Frank.

In London, there were 2,147 luxury home sales in the $2m-$5m price range in 2009, which put the capital behind Hong Kong but roughly on par with NYC. However, by 2014, sales in this category in London had soared to 6,250 – double the number witnessed in Manhattan and tripe the amount in Hong Kong, Singapore and Sydney.

In the ultra-prime market – the homes selling for more than $5m (around £3m) – London has also surpassed Manhattan.

London is World Leader for Luxury Property

London is World Leader for Luxury Property

Knight Frank found that 1,638 properties were sold in London for over $5m in 2014, compared to 796 in Manhattan, 258 in Sydney and just 21 in Los Angeles.

The upmarket estate agent reports that London and NYC are constantly fighting for position as the world’s leader in the prime property market, but London has taken the top spot.

Head of Research at Knight Frank, Liam Bailey, comments: “These two cities continue to lead development trends in terms of design, pricing and iconic architecture.”1

He expects London’s dominance to remain for the next ten years, although NYC could take over in 2024.

Prime London house prices have increased faster than any major city in the past decade, including those in East Asia. The average Mayfair or Holland Park apartment price rose by a huge 138% since 2004. Hong Kong followed with 93% price growth, New York at 78% and Singapore at 69%.

The increase in London prices arrives despite a fairly high supply of new build luxury apartments compared with overseas cities.

In Hong Kong and NYC, residential completions were lower than in London in 2014, as the English capital experiences a boom in tower building.

London’s traditional, low-rise skyline is being replaced by soaring residential skyscrapers, with 264 buildings of more than 20 storeys either proposed, approved or under construction in Greater London.

However, NYC is fighting back. It’s new 1,396 foot tower, 432 Park Avenue, is nearing completion, making it the tallest residential building in the world and the third highest in the city. The building’s penthouse was allegedly sold to a Saudi Arabian buyer for $95m in 2013.

In total, there are 100 new residential skyscrapers in Manhattan, with 6,500 condos for sale. Knight Frank reports that this represents a “staggering inventory”1 of $30 billion worth of property.

Similarly to the situation being observed in London, New Yorkers are complaining that foreign buyers are purchasing luxury apartments that are then left empty, pushing up prices and making housing unaffordable for ordinary locals, as rent prices are also inflated.

Knight Frank believes that one reason London has surpassed NYC is not just its attractiveness to overseas buyers, but a rising population and workforce, particularly in the finance and IT industries.

The number of Londoners working in finance, insurance, IT and telecoms increased from 1.28m to 1.56m between 2009-14, surpassing the 1.1m employed in the same sectors in NYC and 0.8m in Hong Kong.

However, Knight Frank says the global city to watch is Miami.

Despite becoming the repossession capital of the USA during the financial crisis, the city’s housing market has started to boom again recently. Prices for prime property have surged by 91% in the last five years.

1 http://www.theguardian.com/money/2015/oct/06/london-outstrips-new-york-to-top-global-prime-property-league

 

BBC and White City Homes Go On Sale

Flats at the BBC’s former White City headquarters go on sale this month, in an area that developers are hoping will be equal to nearby Notting Hill and Holland Park.

Although the traditionally urban quarter, with dual carriageways and railway tracks, is worlds away from upmarket West London hotspots, it could soon become the area’s biggest new district.

At Television Centre, an iconic example of mid-century modern architecture, property prices start at £500,000.

For the next six weeks, Studio 1 – where many programmes including Doctor Who and Top of the Pops were filmed – will be a marketing centre. Models and mock-ups of the finished apartments, with their 1950s-style interiors, will be part of a project that will be complete in ten years.

Around £8 billion of investment will transform the 145-acre White City into over 5,000 homes, a campus of academic expertise, a media village and an expanded Westfield shopping centre. The area will also feature landscaped public space and updated transport links.

The old 14-acre BBC site of buildings dating back to the 50s is being redeveloped by Stanhope into a neighbourhood of 950 homes, including 142 affordable flats, offices, a Soho House hotel and private members’ club, including a rooftop swimming pool, cafes, restaurants and a cinema.

The first 450 homes are being created in the listed circular-shaped block. The building’s round courtyard features a statue of Helios, the Greek sun god.

Around this central ring are original studios, scenery blocks and engineering sectors, some of which will be refitted before they are given back to the BBC in 2017. Viewed from above, the entire complex forms a question mark, the design of architect Graham Dawbarn, who doodled the shape on the back of an envelope.

It was the world’s first custom-built television and radio compound, with 400 offices for 3,000 people, dressing rooms for 600 artists, seven studios, wardrobe space for 16,000 garments, laundry rooms, a hair salon, make up and wig-making departments, script and music libraries, a band rehearsal room and a phone exchange.

The round block measures 500 feet in diameter, with a basement of three-and-a-half acres, part of which will become a spa and health club for residents.

One-bedroom flats are priced from £650,000 and a penthouse with terrace will cost £7m.

Most of the affordable homes will be sold to locals, at 75% below the market rate. There will also be ten affordable rental properties.

The first phase of development will be finished in December 2017, by which time the Television Centre will be up and running 24/7. Also, for the first time, it will be open to the public. The previously off-limits complex is being opened up at the front with new landscaped areas. At the back, a green pedestrian route will lead to the four-acre Hammersmith Park.

Prospective buyers can register their interest online at televisioncentre.com.

White City was initially created for a specific purpose, to house The Franco-British Exhibition of 1908, where its white marble-clad pavilions and mini-palaces gave it its name. In the same year, it hosted the Olympic Games and became the BBC’s home after the Second World War.

Hammersmith & Fulham Council’s proposal is to tame the busy roads and railway lines by making the area more green, improving public spaces and creating pedestrian routes to local train stations.

Westfield started the redevelopment when it built its huge shopping centre. The firm is starting work on its second phase of 1,347 new homes and the biggest ever John Lewis store, opening in 2017.

Developer St James is demolishing a Marks & Spencer warehouse to build a 1,465-property, 10-acre neighbourhood named White City Green. The firm has started a consultation with local residents and is participating in design workshops, with ideas submitted by local secondary school pupils.

Locals state that they would benefit from an easier route to the Westfield and Wood Lane Tube station. Thus, a new bridge and pedestrian deck is being built above the over-ground track of the Central line, and blocked railway arches are being knocked through. 30% of homes in the scheme will be affordable.

The project’s architects, Patel Taylor, has created a living-in-the-park concept, to form a central green that will run through the development and connect to the Imperial College campus.

The university is investing £3 billion in a top quality research and innovation centre, mixing commerce and science. The 25-acre campus will span both sides of the A40 and bring 11 new modern buildings and 1,150 homes set around two public squares. Accommodation for 500 postgraduate students is already complete.

Alistair Shaw, Managing Director of Stanhope, says the aim of Television Centre is to fuse the site back into the local area. Stanhope has also acquired a 17-acre plot that will become White City Place, with up to 1.5m square foot of offices.

The schemes hope to attract buyers who would previously have looked no further than Shepherd’s Bush roundabout. However, prospective buyers will have to wait a decade for construction to be complete.

 

Ex-Minister Warns of Another Housing Market Crash

Published On: October 5, 2015 at 3:56 pm

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Categories: Landlord News

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Sir Vince Cable, a former business minister, warns that another housing market crash could be just around the corner.

He believes there are “worrying signs” that Britain is “reliving the bubble of the pre-crash”.

He is one of two ex-ministers to give their opinions of the private rental sector within days of one another, with their concerns fuelled by the booming buy-to-let market.

Ex-Minister Warns of Another Housing Market Crash

Ex-Minister Warns of Another Housing Market Crash

In July, one in five mortgages were granted to buy-to-let investors and the Bank of England (BoE) reported in the record of the last Financial Policy Committee meeting that the stock of buy-to-let lending has grown by 40% since 2008, compared with a 2% increase for owner-occupation.

Both Liberal Democrat Cable and Conservative Damian Green are calling for more tax measures to be imposed on landlords, going further than the tough new system announced in the summer Budget.

Cable states that housing is unaffordable for most people in the country, with price rises driven by buy-to-let activity and a shortage of supply.

He believes extra tax measures are needed to clamp down on the buy-to-let sector.

Speaking at the Association of Short Term Lenders conference, Cable said that the 2008 financial crisis had been an “economic heart attack” that we are still suffering from.

Green also expressed fears over the buy-to-let market.

He said there is “huge discontent” over housing.

He continued: “We need to reclaim the mantle of the party of homeownership and to do that we not only have to build more houses, but ensure that they are available for people to buy.

“Too many new houses and flats are immediately snapped up by buy-to-let landlords, and never become available for first time buyers.

“I am delighted that we have taken the first steps towards removing the tax advantages for buy-to-let, but I suspect there is much further to go and therefore more political courage required.”1

Director of central London agent, W.A. Ellis, Richard Barber, says the current plans to cut landlords’ tax breaks are unlikely to work.

He believes: “In spite of the Government’s plans to cut tax breaks for landlords to level the playing field between buy-to-let borrowers and first time buyers, the fundamentals for buy-to-let are still strong.

“Whilst yields may be affected by the reduction in mortgage relief, the shortage of new housing stock, people renting for longer and new pension freedoms will continue to drive this sector.”

He continues: “Whilst the Government may have successfully cooled the upper end of the market, their efforts to increase housing stock seem to revolve more around rhetoric than delivery.

“The increase in buy-to-let lending over the last three months is indicative of the public’s long-term faith in property as an investment.”1

1 http://www.propertyindustryeye.com/next-housing-market-crash-is-around-the-corner-warns-vince-cable/

£1m Mortgages on the Rise

Published On: October 5, 2015 at 1:54 pm

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Categories: Finance News

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The housing crisis may be causing chaos in the lower end of the property market, but in the £1m mortgage sector, activity is mounting.

Over the past year, the amount of £1m and over mortgages granted by major lenders has risen by almost a fifth, while one in 14 borrowers have mortgages of more than £500,000.

Nationwide revealed that it has 269 customers on mortgages over £1m, compared to 167 this time last year. NatWest granted 233 mortgages of more than £1m in 2014 and so far this year, has approved a further 207. It expects to end this year up 18% in this category.

Financial regulators require these wealthy buyers to go through the same affordability checks as ordinary homebuyers before being granted a loan. Ray Boulger of mortgage brokers John Charcol comments: “We were going through the expenditure section with one such client and we asked how much his travelling expenses were. He said: ‘I don’t know. I have a plane.’”1

The high value mortgages taken out to purchase prime properties in central London are often granted by private banks rather than high street brands.

Land Registry figures reveal that of the 100 most expensive homes sold in the UK last year, UBS of Switzerland funded 10 of them, worth £173m in total. The next biggest lenders were HSBC, Credit Suisse, Barclays, Coutts and JP Morgan.

Since the financial crisis, many average earners have had to take out repayment mortgages, while wealthier workers are often offered lower-cost, interest-only deals with privately negotiated rates.

£1m Mortgages on the Rise

£1m Mortgages on the Rise

It may be surprising that the super rich need mortgages, but brokers find that, as rates are so low, the wealthy prefer to borrow against their homes and use the cash to purchase alternative assets.

The prime mortgage market is divided between foreign buyers and domestic purchasers. The international elite use private banks to fund home purchases in Kensington and Chelsea, while British buyers use high street banks to buy £1m-£3m properties in southwest London, Surrey and Cheshire.

However, Boulger reports that the elite market is currently slow, but the £1m-£2m sector is still thriving.

These home purchases are paid for with very high incomes. Halifax found that the average annual income of customers with £1m mortgages is £389,000, while the typical applicant is a banker or footballer, say specialist mortgage brokers.

Coreco’s Andrew Montlake finds: “We have seen some eye-watering payslips over the past few months, as well as large bonus payments or exceptional sets of accounts, which have been used to prove income and affordability.

“We are seeing a return of high street lenders into the £1m plus arena, eager to bolster their lending levels. Many lenders are comfortable again and returning to the £1m to £2m lending market.”1

SPF Private Clients, a broker firm of estate agents Savills, reports booming business.

Its Chief Executive, Mark Harris, says: “We do lots of mortgages above £1m and are up 63% year-on-year. Borrowers tend to work in financial services, the legal profession, hedge funds, private equity, or are professional sportsmen.” He adds that footballers are the most common sportspeople customers.

Most £1m-plus mortgages are for homes in London, accounting for just under eight out of ten loans. A further 13% are in the Home Counties and South East and the rest are across the UK.

Nationwide’s £1m hotspot is Richmond upon Thames, while Charcol reports that outside central London, its highest loan clients are in Weybridge, Surrey and Altrincham, Cheshire.

In the first half of 2014, there were 4,259 sales of homes worth over £1m in London, compared to just seven in Wales.

The Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) says that its members granted 1,200 £1m-plus loans in 2013, growing to 1,400 in 2014. However, this figure does not include many private banks that dominate the high net-worth sector.

However, it’s not just the wealthy taking out huge loans. Many buyers are being forced to max out their borrowing to afford a home. The Building Societies Association reports that in 2008, just 3% of mortgages were over £500,000, but this has since doubled to 7%.

To the super-rich, £1m mortgages have become more affordable, as interest rates have hit record low levels.

Repayments on £1m loans start at around £5,000 per month – the equivalent to three times the average full-time worker’s monthly salary.

However, if the Bank of England (BoE) base rate increases from 0.5% to 3%, as predicted, a £1m loan will cost the borrower more than £7,000 a month.

Those taking out £1m mortgages will discover that these loans don’t get them very far in the London property market.

Rightmove reports that there are currently 765 one-bedroom flats for sale in London priced over £1m, with one costing £8.5m. In the previously riot-ridden streets of Brixton, two-bed homes can go for more than £2m.

Adrian Anderson, of Mayfair-based mortgage broker Anderson Harris, observes: “Most of the high value properties tend to be in London. However, I have seen a shift in clients seeking to cash out of London and purchase much larger properties in the country.

“Values in London have grown a lot more than values outside of London over the past five years. A large country house can sometimes cost less than £500 per square foot, [whereas] a house in Chelsea can cost £2,000 per square foot, hence large houses outside of London may look good value comparatively. Some clients have explored selling their London family home and purchasing a large country property and a small flat in town.”1 

1 http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/oct/02/britains-super-rich-cash-in-low-interest-rates-1m-mortgages

 

East-West Divide Growing in Central London Property Market

Property sales in the prime central London market increased in the month to September, but the general slow mood of the year is continuing, as higher Stamp Duty costs are causing buyers to become more reserved.

These are the messages arriving from Knight Frank’s latest sales index for the capital.

For the whole region, annual price growth dropped to 1.3%, the lowest rate since October 2009. However, prices fell by over 3% in some areas to the west of central London.

East-West Divide Growing in Central London Property Market

East-West Divide Growing in Central London Property Market

The data also reveals that new prospective buyers decreased by 34%, but viewings dropped by just 4%.

An east-west divide appears to have manifested around Hyde Park, with prices rising to the east, in Islington, the City of London, Marylebone and Mayfair, but falling in the west, in Notting Hill, South Kensington and Knightsbridge.

The report states that the divide is possibly due to a greater proportion of larger homes in the west, which are now affected by higher Stamp Duty.

Head of London Residential Research at Knight Frank, Tom Bill, comments: “Underlying demand remains strong but buyers have become more circumspect and stringent in their requirements due to the Stamp Duty increase.

“This heightened price sensitivity among buyers has resulted in a flight to quality, meaning demand is particularly strong for properties in the best condition and on a prime floor, street or square.

“So, while the anticipated gear change materialised as summer moved into autumn, there was no sense the market is entering full-blown recovery mode after what has been a subdued 2015.”1

Director of W.A. Ellis, Richard Barber, adds: “Transaction levels have been down throughout the spring and summer months and, whilst some of this reduction may have been due to election jitters, it is now apparent that the increase in Stamp Duty is the main driver behind this trend.

“Whilst the Government may not wish to admit that HMRC’s Stamp Duty revenue has diminished by £1.5 billion in the first six months of 2015, compared with the previous six months, it is unlikely that George Osborne will reduce the new levy at this stage in the political cycle.

“With lower transaction levels across prime central London, it is clear that quality is a priority for buyers, notably, the most recent transaction within our prime central London postcodes have all been properties of the highest quality with exceptional attributes.”1 

In the lettings sector, Knight Frank reports that annual rental growth fell to 2.4% in September, the lowest figure since September 2014.

This decline is thought to be the result of contagion from the Chinese economic crash, with firms more hesitant to recruit or spend on relocation for senior executives.

This has caused the number of agreed tenancies in the three months to August to fall by 5.9% over the year and the amount of viewings to decrease by 10.2%.

Knight Frank expects this trend to continue in the short term.

However, the report found that the trend is less clear in the lower and higher price ranges, with demand among young professionals remaining strong, but demand in the super prime market of £5,000 per week and over has “been buoyed by the fact tenants have moved across from the sales market due to the Stamp Duty increase”1. 

1 http://www.propertyindustryeye.com/stamp-duty-changes-create-eastwest-divide-in-prime-central-london/