Posts with tag: house price growth

House Prices Continue to Rise, Especially in London

Published On: June 14, 2016 at 10:40 am

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House prices in the UK are continuing to rise, especially in London, which remains the region with the greatest house price growth, according to the latest UK House Price Index for April from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) and the Land Registry.

In the year to April, the average house price rose by 8.2%, down slightly from 8.5% in the year to March.

The main contribution to house price growth in the UK came from England, where the average property value increased by 9.1% over the past 12 months to reach £225,000.

House Prices Continue to Rise, Especially in London

House Prices Continue to Rise, Especially in London

Regionally, London continues to be the region with the highest average house price, at £470,000, followed by the South East, at £302,000, and the East of England, at £263,000.

The lowest average house price continues to be in the North East, at £122,000.

London was also the region that recorded the greatest annual house price growth, of 14.5% in the year to April.

The East of England, at 13.6%, and the South East, at 12.3%, also experienced strong annual growth.

The lowest annual growth was seen in the North East, where prices rose by just 0.1% over the last 12 months.

The CEO of estate agent Marsh & Parsons, David Brown, comments: “This new, combined house price index gives a more accurate picture than ever before, given the inclusion of cash sales and new dwellings, along with average price calculations that are less liable to volatility. The revised methodology doesn’t scramble the signal, however; house price growth continues the strong performance it has shown over the past two-and-a-half years, despite a slight calming since March.

“The rate of house price growth in the capital has been overshadowed at various junctures over the past year by strong showings from the East of England and the South East, but London is top dog once again. A truly world-class destination like London may not always be at full throttle, but it never loses its lustre.”

Additionally, the Managing Director of property firm Stirling Ackroyd, Andrew Bridges, says: “London’s property crown is intact – for now. Unparalleled growth in house prices and unwavering demand mean a home in the capital now demands more than double the UK average. High prices aren’t putting off buyers, with the capital’s diverse variety of homes proving hard to resist. But this could be the calm before the storm.

“A potential Brexit is producing jitters this June, and the London property market is the most vulnerable to this new anxiety. The top-end of the capital’s housing market has been stuck in a slowdown for a while now, with a 2.4% annualised fall in the last quarter of 2015. And this is worsening, as buyers and sellers wait to see the referendum result – at least for the top-end of London’s luxury market.”

He adds: “But this is a temporary drop, and London’s ability to bounce back is in no doubt. Buyers may be flirting with the idea of buying in the cheaper and newer areas around the capital. But London’s overall draw, for both domestic and international buyers, is undimmed. And the challenge of political developments will be unable to thwart the capital’s global property reign.”

Rents set to rise faster than house prices

Published On: June 9, 2016 at 10:39 am

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Tenants are set to see rents spiral quicker than their incomes and faster than property price growth, according to a concerning new report.

The study from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) suggests that while house prices are likely to rise, rents look set to outstrip them.

Rent rises, tenant concerns

People currently residing in privately rented accommodation are thought to bear the brunt of the tax increases for buy-to-let landlords. The fear is that this will lead to a reduction of properties on the rental market, that will in turn push rents higher.

RICS forecast that rents in Britain will rise by an average of 4.7% year-on-year for the next five years. This is in comparison to house prices, which are predicted to increase by 4.1%.

However, the RICS survey is not the only investigation pointing at bad news for renters. The most recent HomeLet Rental Index shows that cost of a new tenancy in the private markets in Britain, increased by 4.4% in the three months to May. This was with the exception of Greater London.

Rents set to rise faster than house prices

Rents set to rise faster than house prices

Increases

Rental price growth in Britain was led by Scotland, where rents increased by 10.6% year-on-year. This was followed by rises of 8.3% in the East Midlands. London saw a rise of 6.2%, with rent for new tenancies standing at £1,563.

Martin Totty, chief executive of Barbon Insurance Group, HomeLet’s parent company, observed, ‘the May HomeLet Rental Index continues to show a rental market characterised by steady growth in rents, as the number of tenants looking for property runs ahead of the supply in the market-that remains the picture in most regions of the country.’[1]

[1] https://www.landlordtoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2016/6/rent-price-increases-set-to-outstrip-house-price-growth

 

 

House Price Growth Broadly Stable in May Following Stamp Duty Surge

Published On: June 1, 2016 at 8:41 am

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House price growth was broadly stable in May, following an artificial surge in property transactions due to the new Stamp Duty surcharge, according to the latest House Price Index from Nationwide.

Property prices rose by just 0.2% over the past month to reach an average of £204,368, taking annual house price growth to 4.7%.

A surge in property transactions in March, ahead of the 1st April Stamp Duty deadline, pushed prices up artificially.

As of April, buy-to-let landlords and second homebuyers are now charged an extra 3% in Stamp Duty. Many rushed to purchase additional properties before being hit with the higher tax rate.

Nationwide now expects to see a steady increase in housing market activity following this flood.

House Price Growth Broadly Stable in May Following Stamp Duty Surge

House Price Growth Broadly Stable in May Following Stamp Duty Surge

The building society’s Chief Economist, Robert Gardner, comments: “The annual pace of house price growth remains in the fairly narrow range between 3-5% that has been prevailing for much of the past 12 months.

“In the near term, it’s going to be difficult to gauge the underlying strength of activity in the housing market, due to the volatility generated by the Stamp Duty changes, which took effect from 1st April.

“Indeed, the number of residential property transactions surged to an all-time high in March, some 11% higher than the pre-crisis peak, as buyers of second homes sought to avoid the additional tax liabilities.”

He continues: “While cash purchases accounted for a significant proportion of the increase in activity, it is not possible to determine whether or not these were purchased by landlords. Mortgage data suggests that, while buy-to-let purchases were a major driver of the increase, the purchase of second homes also accounted for a substantial proportion.

“House purchase activity is likely to fall in the months ahead, given the number of purchasers that brought forward transactions. The recovery thereafter may also be fairly gradual, especially in the buy-to-let sector, where other policy changes, such as the reduction in tax relief for landlords from 2017, are likely to exert an ongoing drag.

“Nevertheless, healthy labour market conditions and low borrowing costs are expected to underpin a steady increase in housing market activity once Stamp Duty-related volatility has passed, providing the economic recovery remains on track.”

The founder and CEO of online estate agent eMoov.co.uk, Russell Quirk, responds to the figures: “Despite the artificial skew of April’s Stamp Duty deadline having been and gone, UK house prices have continued the upward trend that has been prevalent over the last year, increasing month-on-month again, albeit gradually.

“There has been a lot of talk about how the market may come to a shuddering halt now that April’s spike in activity is behind us, however, I don’t believe that this will be the case.

“There’s no denying that April’s change in Stamp Duty thresholds created an abnormality in market activity, but I don’t think it has brought about the death of the buy-to-let and second home market, let alone the UK market as a whole.”

He explains: “When you also consider that we are entering what is seasonally the busiest time of the year for property transactions, I think the engine room of Britain’s property market will continue to trundle along at a steady pace, even if it does take a while longer to get up to speed than it may have in previous years.

“Whilst interest rates remain at a mouth-watering low and the Government continues to pump this feel-good factor into the UK economy, the dangerous imbalance between housing demand and supply will remain out of kilter and continue to push house prices up. Britain remains an aspirational home owning nation, and neither an EU yes or no vote will change that.”

House Price Growth Causes Surge in Multi-Generational Households

Published On: May 31, 2016 at 9:36 am

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Sharp house price growth has caused a surge in multi-generational households, according to data from Aviva.

While many young adults aspire to get on the property ladder, house price growth of 52% over the past decade has led to the number of multi-generational households rising by 46%.

This includes adult children or couples either moving back in with their parents or never leaving home.

House Price Growth Causes Surge in Multi-Generational Households

House Price Growth Causes Surge in Multi-Generational Households

In 2015, there were around 2.8m adults aged 21-34 living with their parents, or 23% of people in this age group, according to figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This is up by 32%, or more than half a million (684,000) people, since 2005, says Aviva.

Additionally, the ONS data shows a 46% increase in the number of people living in multi-generational households across all age groups between 2005-15, up from 1.1m to 1.5m.

However, a huge 66% of people currently living in this type of household say the benefits far outweigh the disadvantages.

More than half (57%) say that this living arrangement helps with saving for a deposit for their own home, while 71% have moved back in to care for a relative.

The main benefits of living in a multi-generational household are having people around for company, shared living costs and sharing chores, found the Aviva study.

If house price growth continues to soar, Aviva expects there to be 2.2m people living in multi-generational households and 3.8m 21-34 year olds living with their parents by 2025.

The firm’s Lindsey Rix comments: “Multi-generational living is often seen as a necessity rather than a choice, particularly when adults are forced to move back in with family to help save for long-term goals, like buying their own house. But rather than being an inconvenience, our report shows it is often a positive experience, with shared living costs reducing financial strain and the added benefit of constant company.

“If house prices continue to rise at their current rate, we can expect the number of multi-generational houses to continue to grow. What we need from our properties – and how we go about protecting them – will also adapt as the UK’s way of living evolves.”

Do you have adult children living at home? Or maybe you’re saving for a deposit yourself?

House Price Growth Up to 10.4% from 6.6% Last Year

Published On: May 27, 2016 at 8:40 am

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Annual house price growth has shot up to 10.4% this year compared with 6.6% 12 months ago, according to the latest UK Cities House Price Index from Hometrack.

The report claims that last year’s slowdown in house prices was partly due to uncertainty over the 2015 general election.

The recent surge in property transactions ahead of the 1st April Stamp Duty deadline resulted in most cities recording a sharp increase in monthly house price growth, with the annual rate of inflation higher than 2015’s in 15 of the UK’s 20 largest cities. Cambridge continues to lead the way, with a 15.8% surge, while Aberdeen is the only UK city to buck the upward trend with a decrease of 6.1%.

UK city house price growth

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Hometrack has also analysed the impact of the forthcoming EU referendum on the economy and housing market. The UK Cities House Price Index examines house price growth and property transactions over the past 20 years to determine how external factors affect housing market activity.

The analysis found that uncertainty amongst homebuyers over the outlook for the economy and personal finances tends to have a greater impact on the number of property transactions than house prices.

House Price Growth Up to 10.4% from 6.6% Last Year

House Price Growth Up to 10.4% from 6.6% Last Year

The report suggests that were the UK to vote for a Brexit, then there could be a 5-10% reduction in property transactions, which would particularly affect London. A vote to remain would deliver a boost to market confidence and deliver the greatest benefits to large regional cities, such as Manchester, Leeds and Birmingham, where housing demand is growing and current rates of house price growth are likely to be sustained.

The analysis highlights how transaction levels have varied over time and some of the external factors that have influenced the housing market.

Although many associate the decade before 2007 with strong house price growth, the research shows that sales volumes dropped on four occasions in London by as much as 15%, emphasising how the capital is more prone to the impact of external factors.

Across the UK as a whole, a 15% drop in sales was recorded in 2005, largely driven by domestic factors and rising interest rates in 2003/04. Contrastingly, the impact of the 2011/12 Eurozone crisis on property transactions was more muted, as the market was beginning to recover after the 2008 financial crash.

The Insight Director at Hometrack, Richard Donnell, comments on the findings: “The economic impacts of a vote to leave will dictate the impact of the housing market. Our analysis of how the market has responded to external factors over the last 20 years suggests that a vote to leave on 23rd June could result in a 5-10% fall in housing turnover, with London bearing the brunt.

“After a period of strong house price inflation over the last five years, the London market faces greater headwinds irrespective of the referendum vote. Turnover fell 7% last year on the back of affordability constraints and weaker overseas demand. Tax changes for investors will reduce demand and we expect price growth to slow in the near future, even if sterling were to weaken and improve the relative value of central London property.”

Donnell continues: “A vote to remain will have the greatest upside for house prices and transactions in regional cities, where the recovery has been more short-lived and affordability less stretched than in southern cities. The boost to confidence from a vote to remain, coupled with low mortgage rates, would most likely benefit cities such as Manchester, Leeds and Birmingham, as housing demand and price growth seem set to sustain itself.”

House Prices Rise over Five Times Faster than Wages

Published On: May 19, 2016 at 9:54 am

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House Prices Rise over Five Times Faster than Wages

House Prices Rise over Five Times Faster than Wages

The average house price in the UK has risen over five times faster than average weekly earnings in the past five years, according to analysis of the latest Office for National Statistics (ONS) data by the Resolution Foundation.

The study found that house prices have increased by 36% since April 2011, while weekly earnings have risen by just 7% over the same period.

This separation between house price and wage growth has been even more marked in London and the South East, where property values have surged by 57% and 39% respectively. However, the average weekly salary has only risen by 5% in the South East, and has actually dropped in the capital – the product of reductions in bonuses at the top level of earnings and strong employment growth in lower paying positions.

Even in Scotland and the North East – where house price growth has been the lowest over the last five years – property values have roughly doubled the rate of earnings inflation.

The Resolution Foundation claims that this post-millennial surge in house prices has caused a dramatic shift in housing tenure. Homeownership has fallen from around 70% of all households in low to middle incomes to 55% over the last decade. The proportion of people renting from a private landlord has doubled over the same timeframe, to 27%.

The Senior Policy Analyst at the Resolution Foundation, Lindsay Judge, comments: “Runaway house prices have had a clear feed through to living standards in recent years. Most obviously it has priced people out of homeownership, pushing significant numbers into the private rental market.

“But rampant house prices inflation isn’t just a problem for wannabe homeowners. It has increased the stock of mortgage debt, and fuelled demand for renting that is driving up costs there too. Ultimately, we all pay for house price inflation by spending a greater share of our incomes on housing.

“The solution to this housing crisis isn’t easy – especially in London. It will require radical action to both boost the supply of housing for all tenure types, and improve conditions and security in the UK’s private rental sector.”