Posts with tag: house prices

Property Prices Rise Due to Lack of Supply

Published On: May 15, 2015 at 9:50 am

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The greatest lack of supply of homes for sale in the UK in almost six years has fuelled property price increases in the past month, found new research.

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) revealed that every region of the UK has experienced price rises, and that one cause of this could have been uncertainty ahead of the general election. However, the organisation believes there are “deeper underlying problems” regarding the shortage.

In its survey of members, the RICS discovered that a net balance of -21% reported a drop in new instructions and 33% more surveyors saw price increases in April, up from 22% in March.

Additionally, the balance of those studied that reported price growth was positive in every UK region for the first time since August 2014, as prices in London rose again after being stable for a few months.

28% more surveyors witnessed prices in London increase, compared with 6% more in March who saw prices drop. With fewer homes up for sale, agreed purchases were at -3%.

Property Prices Rise Due to Lack of Supply

Property Prices Rise Due to Lack of Supply

The RICS report expects house prices to increase by 2.7% around the UK in the next year, as 72% of respondents predict price rises.

This data will add pressure onto the Conservative Government, which has the task of building more homes. April’s decline in new instructions was the sharpest since May 2009.

Head of Policy at RICS, Jeremy Blackburn, says that the affordability and availability of properties in the UK is now a “national emergency” and the Government need to make it an urgent issue.

“The last time we were building 300,000 homes was in 1963 under Harold Macmillan’s Conservative government, which utilised both public and private building,”1 Blackburn notes.

Private developer construction is now below the long-term average, however, local authority house building is the main problem causing a shortage of homes.

Before the election result was revealed, Chief Economist at RICS, Simon Rubinsohn, commented: “It is conceivable that the decisive outcome to the election could encourage a pick-up in instructions to agents and ease some of the recent upward pressure on house prices, but it is doubtful that this will be substantive enough to provide anything more than temporary relief.

“Alongside an increased flow of second hand stock, it is absolutely critical that the new government focuses on measures to boost the flow of new build.”1 

Furthermore, surveyors are expecting rents to continue increasing, as tenant demand grew in all UK regions in the three months to April, found RICS. Its report predicts rents will rise by around 5% every year for the next five years.

The report claims: “The downward trend in owner-occupation rates across the country is a visible sign that affordability constraints bite ever deeper, as does the squeeze on household budgets from higher rents.”1 

The report reflects recent research from mortgage provider Halifax, which reported a 1.6% increase in property prices in April. The bank also stated the rise is due to the lack of supply of homes for sale.

The average house price in Britain was a record high of £196,412 in April, up £3,084 from March, when prices grew by a slower monthly rate of 0.6%.

Property price growth has steadied since the second half of 2014, however prices were 8.5% higher than last year in the three months to April. This was 8.1% in the three months to March, Halifax found.

However, high-end estate agents expect prices to increase even further, after wealthy buyers returned to the housing market after the election.

1 http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/mortgageshome/article-3080058/Surveyors-report-biggest-shortage-homes-sale-nearly-six-years-pushing-house-prices-higher.html

 

 

 

Asking prices for UK property rise again

Published On: May 13, 2015 at 12:42 pm

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Categories: Property News

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Despite perceived market uncertainty due to the general election, a latest index report has indicated that asking prices for property in the UK actually rose during the last month.

According to data from Home.co.uk, average property prices across England, Scotland and Wales increased over the previous month, suggesting continuing confidence in the housing market.

Growth

Information from the report shows that there was even a small growth in lacklustre regions such as the North West and the North East, both up by 0.6%. On average, the asking price of houses in England and Wales rose by 0.8% during the last month.[1]

A Tory victory brought more encouragement to the housing market, particularly for first-time buyers, who will be buoyed by the continued Help to Buy scheme and the promised Help to Buy ISA, scheduled for the Autumn. In addition, the extension of the Right to Buy scheme to housing association members, alongside increased home building, has also raised confidence.

Encouragingly, the data showed that supply of property for sale is up by 8% across the UK, in comparison to one year ago. The East of England was found to be the fastest moving market over the last year, with the average time a house spent on the market down by 15%.[2]

Asking prices for UK property rise again

Asking prices for UK property rise again

Improved year

Doug Shephard, Director of Home.co.uk believes that this year has started extremely positively, commenting, ‘2015 is already looking like a more sensible and sustainable year for the UK property market.’ He continued by suggesting that,’ confidence is growing in the northern regions and the London market has managed to exit a period of frenzied growth without a major catastrophe.’[3]

Shephard believes that, ‘now we have the election out of the way, much uncertainty in the market has evaporated. Moreover, property prices are rising at a far more sustainable rate than we witnessed last year.’[4]

He also indicated that he feels that the buy-to-let market in particular was grow at a substantial rate, with no threat of Labour induced rent caps. Additionally, Shephard feels that 2015 and 2016 will be steadier for the property market, with steady price increases, more mortgages available and quicker sales.

[1-4] http://www.propertywire.com/news/europe/uk-property-asking-prices-2015051310499.html

 

House Prices, ‘rose by £100 per day,’ in April

Published On: May 8, 2015 at 4:13 pm

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New statistics indicate that house prices across the United Kingdom continue to escalate at a remarkable rate.

Data released from the Halifax showed that house prices rose at more than £100 per day during April, taking the average value of property in Britain to almost £200,000. This has led to more concern that young professionals and families are being further priced out of the property market.

Growth

Despite perceived market sluggishness, due to election uncertainty and more restrictive lending conditions, the report from the Halifax showed that annual growth rate had increased. The increase was to 8.5% in the twelve months up to April, from 8.1% in the year to March. As a result, average house prices rose from £193,328 to £196, 412 in just one month.[1]

Martin Ellis, housing economist at the Halifax, believes that, ‘housing demand is being supported by a number of factors including economic improvement, rising employment and low mortgage rates.’ According to Ellis, ‘this combination has kept house price growth steady in recent months with prices increasing by 2.2% to 2.6% on a quarterly basis and an annual rate of 8-9%.’[2]

Ellis warns however that, ‘at the same time, supply remains very tight with a general shortage of properties available for sale.’ [3]

House Prices, 'rose by £100 per day,' in April

House Prices, ‘rose by £100 per day,’ in April

Election results

With the Conservatives defying predictions and gaining an overall majority win in the general election, the market is expected to make further gains. Johnny Morris, head of residential research at Hamptons International, said that, ‘we should now see the other side of the pre-election slowdown in activity-the recovery.’ He continued by saying, ‘transactions typically end up 15pc above what you would expect in an average year for at least six months after the election. That potentially means a 30pc difference between activity numbers in the 6 months in the run up to the election versus the 6 months after.’[4}

Despite the result of the election only being announced a few hours ago, exit poll results gave some buyers the confidence to push through with substantial deals. Becky Fatemi, managing director of Rokstone Properties, said that, ‘the London property market has gone crazy and I haven’t slept last night. We have already had exchanges on over £26m worth of property, which I anticipate will rise to well over £30m by the close of the day. Today and tomorrow we will see a huge upward adjustment in London pre-election and post-election residential property prices.’ Fatemi believes that the election outcome, ‘is the one the property market wanted.’[5]

Concern

Whilst the property industry has widely welcomed the result, there remain grave concerns over the crippling lack of housing within the UK. Guy Grainger, chief executive of property group JLL, commented that, ‘there is a palphable sense of relief in the residential property market because there are no new taxes coming in, however we still need to address the issue of supply. Businesses have a real responsibility to articulate how we can supply more housing and must also help the debate on Europe to help people see it from a trade perspective as well as a community one.’[6]

[1]-6 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/property/11591792/House-prices-in-Britain-climb-100-a-day-and-its-about-to-get-crazier.html

 

 

London Could See a Price Bubble Soon

Property prices in London could increase by over 30% in the next five years. The housing market in the capital is staying strong despite uncertainty surrounding the general election, as the economy is steady and many want to live and invest in London.

Only a year after annual house price growth in London was at 20% in the year to June, a new report from real estate firm CBRE has predicted that values in the luxury and mainstream markets in the capital will soon surpass those around the UK.

The high-end central London property market has stagnated, due to buyers and sellers awaiting the outcome of the general election. The frantic activity witnessed in the mainstream market in the past 18 months has also steadied.

London Could See a Price Bubble Soon

London Could See a Price Bubble Soon

The study revealed that this slowdown is down to affordability worries and the effects of last year’s Mortgage Market Review. Read more about the impact of this here: /mortgage-market-review-causes-decline-in-buyers/

Bank of England (BoE) boss Mark Carney has also tried to limit the amount of high loan-to-value (LTV) mortgages, which has contributed to a “softening in house price growth.”1

Annual property price growth in London dropped from 17.8% for the year to the final quarter (Q4) of 2014 to 12.7% for Q1 2015.1

Jennet Siebrits, Head of Residential Research at CBRE says: “The slowdown is slightly at odds with the relatively healthy underlying economic backdrop. However, the market has been experiencing a mini-boom and is now cooling off.”

London has also been affected by political uncertainty, which has limited annual property price growth expectations for the capital as a whole and the high-end market to 5% for 2016. Comparatively, values in the South East and East Anglia are predicted to increase by 6%.

For average priced homes, prices will rise 5% each year in 2016, 2017 and 2018, before growing to 6% in 2019. Prices in the luxury London sector will increase to 6% in 2017 ahead of all other regions and the rest of the capital.

Both sides of the London market will experience 31% growth from 2015-2019, with house prices in the South East rising 28% over the next five years and 25% in the South West. The value of the average property in the UK will increase by 25% and the weakest growth of any region will be in Scotland at 20%.

CBRE predicts that London’s expanding population, the imbalance between supply and demand and more relaxed lending from mortgage providers to well-established developers will boost the capital’s market once the election is over.

A rise in prices will also be fuelled by momentum in the economy, as GDP growth is predicated at 2.8% for this year and Britain experiences record employment levels.

Siebrits adds: “We have seen increased interest from investors from China and Malaysia who have been drawn to large flagship sites such as Teddington Studios in Richmond.”1

It is important to note that these predictions are based on a majority government taking power or a strong coalition being formed. The possibilities of a hung parliament or two elections have not been considered.

1 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/property/11561724/Is-another-house-price-bubble-just-around-the-street-corner-for-London.html

 

 

Property price growth up in December

Published On: January 9, 2015 at 1:10 pm

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Categories: Property News

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Property prices enjoyed a strong end to 2015, according to the latest survey from building society Nationwide.

The survey suggests that values increased by 0.8% in the last month, in comparison to November.

Happy New Year

2015 saw house prices increase by 4.5%, with the average property value in Britain now standing at £196,999. In a separate report, the Land Registry for England and Wales reports that house prices rose by 5.6% in the year to September.

Looking into 2016, the Nationwide said that with property price growth almost parallel to that of salaries, it expects a similar pace of growth in the next year.

The Halifax however has recorded an even greater rate, suggesting that property prices are rising twice as fast. In its most recent survey, the lender indicates that prices increased by 9% in the last year.

Capital Gains

London was found to be the strongest performing area for the 5th year in succession, with average house prices up by 12% annually. This said, Nationwide does not expect house prices in the capital to continue to grow at such a rate next year, with unaffordability already stifling many in the city.

At present, prices in the capital are 50% above their pre-financial crash peak in 2007. In comparison, values in Northern Ireland are 44% beneath their pre-crisis levels, despite increasing by 6.5% in the final quarter of 2015.

Property price growth up in December

Property price growth up in December

In the UK as a whole, the Nationwide said that prices are up by 7% over the course of the year. Scotland was the only part of Britain to see a dip in average prices, with prices in the last quarter of the year down by 1.9% compared to the same period in 2014

‘Further healthy gains in employment and rising wages are likely to bolster buyer sentiment, while borrowing costs are expected to rise only gradually,’ observed Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s chief economist. ‘However, the main concern is that construction activity will lag behind strengthening demand, putting upward pressure on house prices and eventually reducing affordability.’[1]

Concerns

Additionally, Mr Gardner predicted average house price growth of between 3% and 6% during 2016. He went on to say that he had concerns over regional variation in property values, meaning strong house price growth in some areas linked to higher rates of employment.

‘The gap in employment in London is particularly striking, with the number of people in employment up 14% compared to the pre-crisis period,’ he noted.[1]

Howard Archer, chief UK and European economist at IHS Global Insight also warned that average property values would be, ‘constrained by more stretched house prices to earnings ratios, tighter checking of prospective mortgage borrowers by lenders and the probability that interest rates will start rising gradually during 2016.’[1]

[1] http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-35197410?ocid=socialflow_twitter&ns_mchannel=social&ns_campaign=bbcnews&ns_source=twitter

 

 

House Sales have Declined

Published On: January 26, 2012 at 9:24 am

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The number of houses sold last year fell by 1%, according to research carried out by HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC).

House Sales have Declined

House Sales have Declined

HMRC’s calculations revealed that 869,000 properties were sold in 2011. This was 11,000 less than the previous year. It is also one of the lowest figures on record since modern recordings began in 1978. In 2006, about 1,669,000 homes were bought and sold.

This decrease is due to strict mortgage lending, declining incomes, and rising unemployment, say analysts. Many first time buyers are also struggling to get onto the property ladder due to high deposit requirements.

Geoff Meen, Professor of Economics at the University of Reading, explains: “If you have very poor levels of credit availability, for first time buyers and people moving home, you are going to get low levels of sales taking place.

“You would expect low levels of transactions taking place in any recession as well. Given we have very low levels of new construction activity, new transactions reflect sales of new dwellings, so if you have got low starts and completions, you are going to get low transactions as well.”1

The Building Society Association’s Adrian Coles also comments: “This is not just a cyclical downturn where we will see a recovery in a year or two; there are some fundamental changes that have occurred.”1

Additionally, the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) expect that mortgage lending could drop behind this year. Furthermore, the Bank of England predict that mortgage lenders with also tighten lending criteria, which will naturally make it harder to get a mortgage.

1 http://www.justlandlords.co.uk/news/House-Sales-Have-Dropped-1089.html