Posts with tag: home sales

Property Transactions Down by 3.3% Between May and June, Reports HMRC

Published On: July 21, 2017 at 9:28 am

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The number of property transactions in the UK dropped by 3.3% between May and June this year, reports HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC).

The provisional seasonally adjusted UK property transaction count for June was 96,910 residential and 9,800 non-residential sales.

Property Transactions Down by 3.3% Between May and June, Reports HMRC

Property Transactions Down by 3.3% Between May and June, Reports HMRC

The seasonally adjusted estimate of the number of residential property transactions fell by 3.3% between May and June. On an annual basis, the seasonally adjusted figure is 1.0% higher than in June 2016.

However, HMRC warns that caution should be used when making comparisons between the level of property transactions in June 2017 and June 2016. This is due to the introduction of the higher Stamp Duty rates on additional properties in April 2016.

Non-tax factors may have also played a role in residential property transaction levels. For example, the Bank of England’s plans to curb buy-to-let mortgages resulting in a rush to purchase before April 2016, together with behavioural changes associated with the EU referendum and 2017 General Election.

For June 2017, the number of non-adjusted residential property transactions was around 13.2% higher than in May. The amount of non-adjusted residential sales was 8.4% higher year-on-year.

Long-term movement in the number of residential property transactions reflects the general performance of the housing market over the last 12 years. The most prominent feature of the time is the sharp decline in sales at the end of 2007, coinciding with the housing market crash and credit crunch.

Online estate agent eMoov’s latest research looks into what would happen if the market were to crash again: https://www.justlandlords.co.uk/news/house-prices-8-years-recover-crash/

The CEO and Founder of online mortgage broker Trussle, Ishaan Malhi, comments on the latest figures: “There’s been a lot of talk recently of the property market cooling off and, despite a slight increase in transaction levels in May, there are now fewer properties changing hands than in the month prior. This suggests that buyers and sellers are feeling slightly less confident about the future of the property market, unwilling to press ahead with purchases, perhaps due to the somewhat ominous political backdrop. There’s also the possibility that buyers are sitting on their hands until they know the full extent of the recent fall in house prices in June.”

Stephen Wasserman, the Managing Director of West One Loans, adds: “Consumer and investor confidence in bricks and mortar dipped slightly as the snap election dampened buyers’ and sellers’ interests. Despite this, the market is incredibly resilient and we’re confident transactions will pick up again in the coming months, as the sector recovers from the initial shockwaves from the election. We are in a period of prolonged economic uncertainty and, during this time, it’s important borrowers are aware of the range of financing options available to them. We’re seeing steady growth in investors taking out bridging loans, making the most of the flexibility and quick turnaround times they offer while in such choppy waters.”

Residential Property Transactions Down by 3.3% Between April and May

Published On: June 22, 2017 at 9:23 am

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The seasonally adjusted estimate of the number of residential property transactions dropped by 3.3% between April and May this year, reports HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC).

The provisional seasonally adjusted UK property transaction count for May 2017 was 100,170 residential and 10,760 non-residential sales.

Residential Property Transactions Down by 3.3% Between April and May

Residential Property Transactions Down by 3.3% Between April and May

Last month’s seasonally adjusted figure is 13.4% higher than the same month last year.

Direct comparisons of residential property transactions between May last year and May this year should be avoided, HMRC insists, due to the lower than usual level of sales in 2016. This was associated with the introduced of the higher Stamp Duty rates on additional properties in April 2016.

The large increase in home sales for March 2016, followed by the substantial decline in April, is likely to be a direct consequence of the 3% Stamp Duty surcharge, believes HMRC.

The additional tax rates were announced in the Autumn Statement 2015 for England, Wales and Northern Ireland, and in the Scottish Government’s draft 2016-17 Budget for Scotland.

Non-tax factors may also have played a role, reports HMRC, for example, the Bank of England’s plans to curb buy-to-let mortgages resulting in a rush to purchase property before April 2016, and the EU referendum affecting residential property transactions in recent months.

For May 2017, the number of non-adjusted residential property transactions was around 7.9% higher than in the previous month. On an annual basis, the non-adjusted figure was up by 15.9%.

The residential count includes properties paying the main and additional rates of Stamp Duty.

The figures for the three most recent months are provisional and therefore subject to revision.

The Director of mortgage broker Private Finance, Shaun Church, comments on the data: “Although the volume of residential transactions is higher than it was a year ago, there is little value in annual comparisons, as the market was remarkably flat in May 2016 following the changes to Stamp Duty. The residential market is clearly still struggling to move out of first gear, with these changes and a persistent lack of supply limiting transaction volumes.

“It’s not all bad news, however, as the latest research from Lloyds found that first time buyers made up almost half of all house purchases in 2016 – the highest level since 1996. First time buyers have been supported by the record low interest rates and, in many cases, a helping hand from the bank of mum and dad. This has softened the impact of high prices and creeping inflation on housing affordability”.

Home Sales Tumble by a Third Since Housing Boom

Published On: June 21, 2017 at 9:18 am

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Home sales across England and Wales have tumbled by over a third compared with transaction levels at the end of the housing boom in 2006. Last year, home sales were well below the one million mark, at 848,857.

Home Sales Tumble by a Third Since Housing Boom

Home Sales Tumble by a Third Since Housing Boom

The latest Land Registry figure is 7% lower than in 2015 and 34% lower than after the housing boom in 2006.

A new Lloyds Bank report suggests that homeowners may not be moving due to a lack of equity for a deposit or not finding the right location. Surprisingly, there is no mention of higher Stamp Duty rates or stricter mortgage lending requirements.

All regions of England and Wales experienced a decline in homes sales in 2016 compared with 2015, with the greatest falls seen in Greater London – down by 18% annually to 94,000 – and the South East – down by 10% to 203,923.

Home sales in London and the South East were down by 44% and 33% on the period after the housing boom respectively.

Both the East and West Midlands fared the best annually, with just a 1% decrease to 74,547 and 80,921 respectively, followed by the North West, where there was a 2% drop to 96,552.

However, property transactions have picked up compared with five years ago, when the market was deep in recession, with the number of home sales in England and Wales up by 29% on 2011, buoyed by a 23% rise in the South East and 46% increase in the North West.

Sales in Greater London have stood still over the past five years, however, up by just 2%.

The Mortgage Director at Lloyds Bank, Andy Mason, comments: “The recovery in the housing market has stumbled during the past year, with sales declining in all regions.

“Despite record low interest rates and Government schemes such as Help to Buy, sales remain significantly below the levels seen at the height of the last housing boom.”

He explains: “The decrease in the amount of people moving home could be caused by movers not being able to find the right home in the right location, or those who don’t have enough equity in their current home to put down as a large enough deposit for their next mortgage.

“Add to this that the average cost of moving home is close to £11,000, with costs in London over £31,000, and these factors make it more challenging for those looking to move home.”

Home Sales Slump by a Third in Greater London in a Year

Published On: June 12, 2017 at 9:23 am

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Home sales slumped by almost a third in Greater London year-on-year in the spring, as changes to Stamp Duty rates, high property prices and Brexit uncertainty slowed the market.

The latest monthly index from estate agent Your Move shows that in the three months to the end of April, home sales in Greater London were down by 29% on the same period in 2016.

Much of the decrease followed a Government overhaul of Stamp Duty, which encouraged buy-to-let landlords and second home buyers to rush through deals in March 2016.

Home Sales Slump by a Third in Greater London in a Year

Home Sales Slump by a Third in Greater London in a Year

Data from HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) shows a huge spike in sales during March last year, while mortgage lenders reported a surge in activity after the Stamp Duty surcharge came into force on 1st April 2016.

But while a sharp fall from that peak may have been expected, home sales in the capital were down markedly when compared to 2015’s figures, Your Move has found, showing a decline of 19%.

The Your Move index, which is compiled by property consultancy Acadata and based on figures from Land Registry and other indices, shows a significant slowdown for home sales in London, the South East and East of England, but increases in other less expensive areas when compared to 2015.

In Wales, sales dropped by 7% annually, but were 13% higher over the two years. Meanwhile, in the North East, they had fallen by 4% on 2016, but were up by 10% on the previous year.

Within London, there was also a divide along house price lines, with home sales dropping least in Havering, Newham and Bexley – three of the four cheapest boroughs.

According to most reports, house prices across the country have remained stable, with some research finding that prices have dropped in recent months, while others show small increases.

Your Move’s index shows that England and Wales experienced a 0.3% increase in the average house price. It states that average prices rose to a new peak of £303,200, following a year-on-year rise of 4.8%.

Acadata reports that there was little sign that the General Election had dampened the market in May, but there had been a long-term shift in activity.

It says: “Many households are deterred from moving not just because there is a shortage of suitable options to buy, but also because of the costs of moving and not least the rate of Stamp Duty now being levied on higher value homes.”

The Managing Director of Your Move, Oliver Blake, comments on the index: “The market remains resilient and there’s encouraging activity in the north, but we need to urgently address the serious blockages in housebuilding holding back labour mobility and economic competitiveness in too many areas of the country.”

Russell Quirk, the Founder and CEO of online estate agent eMoov.co.uk, adds: “The latest industry data shows London property transactions are on the fall, with prices likely to follow or at least stagnate.

“This lack of buyer demand will have been largely fuelled by those waiting for some stability from last week’s vote. However, it is likely this market slowdown will now linger like a bad smell over the coming months as a result of the rather unsavoury outcome.”

Another industry expert has assessed what the General Election outcome will mean for the London property market: /election-result-london-property-market/

House Prices Continue to Rise as Lack of Homes to Sell Hits Record High

Published On: December 10, 2015 at 2:39 pm

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November saw house prices continue to rise as British property valuers reported a record shortage of homes for sale, according to the latest research from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS).

Some members of the organisation believe that incentives for first time buyers could lead to more sales in the coming months.

House Prices Continue to Rise as Lack of Homes to Sell Hits Record High

House Prices Continue to Rise as Lack of Homes to Sell Hits Record High

LSL Property Services and Acadata also released their house price index for England and Wales today, reporting a new record high in house prices. The study found that the average property value in November was £290,640, a 6% increase on last year and 0.6% up on October.

The report also says that home sales dropped by 15% in November compared to October, with completed sales for the past 12 months sitting 3.4% behind the same period in 2014.

The RICS found that high demand for homes is not leading to greater supply, as the number of homes for sale per surveyor has continued to decrease for the tenth consecutive month to a new record low.

Chief Economist at the RICS, Simon Rubinsohn, says: “I can’t recall a set of comments which have so frequently drawn attention to lack of stock on the market. Given this, it is hard not to envisage prices continuing to climb upwards.”

Official data shows that house prices rose by 6.1% in the year to September and last week, Halifax predicted that they could rise by as much in 2016. Read more: /house-price-forecast-for-2016/

House prices have risen more slowly in London, where the RICS reports the rate of growth has slowed for a fourth consecutive month, as last year’s increase in Stamp Duty for properties worth more than £925,000 cools the top end of the market.

Most economists agree that Britain’s property market is suffering from a long-term lack of house building, particularly in the south of England, fuelled by planning constraints and a shortage of skills and finance.

In his Autumn Statement, Chancellor George Osborne revealed that he will support builders in selling 200,000 new homes at 20% below market value over the next five years.

First time buyers in the capital will get access to larger Government-funded loans and loans will also be offered to those buying a shared ownership property.

The RICS says that this has led to its members predicting the greatest increase in sales in over two years. Initially, it believes this will lead to higher prices, not a rise in construction.

Rubinsohn adds: “With the best will in the world, it is likely that the boost to demand will come through rather more rapidly than the expansion of the development pipeline.”1

1 http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-houseprices-rics-idUKKBN0TT00420151210

 

 

Report shows volatility of PCL market

Published On: September 18, 2015 at 3:47 pm

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New data from Countrywide Group highlights how much volatility there is in the sought-after Prime Central London housing market, simply because of its small area.

The possibility of multi-million pound sales in the region means that the Prime Central London market makes headlines in the industry. However, Countrywide’s report shows that only 5,500 homes were sold in the area last year, including 500 new-builds.

Sales

‘By comparison the mid-market across Greater London-priced £500,000 to £1m-had 25,000 sales, including 2,500 new homes, which is 28% of the UK market in both instances,’ noted Johnny Morris, head of residential research at Countrywide.[1]

‘Prime Central London is now increasingly volatile,’ Morris continued. ‘It is vulnerable to currency fluctuations, international political concerns and the risk of over-supply with massive schemes like Nine Elms (ultimately delivering 18,000 homes) and Earls Court (7,583 homes) all on steam.’[1]

Report shows volatility of PCL market

Report shows volatility of PCL market

Morris believes that this is the reason that some high-end developers, who had previously centered their activity in some of London’s prime areas, were considering moving elsewhere in the capital.

[1] https://www.estateagenttoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2015/9/transaction-totals-show-volatility-of-prime-london-market