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Finance Experts Discuss Their Thoughts on the Forthcoming Autumn Statement

Published On: November 10, 2016 at 10:47 am

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Finance experts from London chartered accountant Blick Rothenberg have discussed their thoughts on the forthcoming Autumn Statement and what the new Chancellor should include in his announcement.

The firm’s Autumn Statement newsroom is now up and running, providing tax commentary, technical analysis and an interview service for journalists before, during and after the announcement on Wednesday 23rd November.

Blick Rothenberg’s experts are already looking at what Chancellor Philip Hammond could, should and shouldn’t do:

Stamp Duty

Nimesh Shah, a partner at the firm, believes that the new Chancellor could reduce Stamp Duty, as well as changing the bands and rates.

Following a rush in property sales in March to beat the 3% surcharge for additional homes, the housing market has slowed, reports Shah. The latest Stamp Duty data also suggests that over 40% of the Stamp Duty raised in the last quarter was subject to the surcharge.

Shah also believes that the current Stamp Duty regime is deterring people from moving house.

Property and buy-to-let

Shah claims that the Chancellor should reverse the proposed interest relief restrictions for buy-to-let landlords, as the additional tax cost is expected to be passed on to tenants. A similar tax policy has recently been scrapped in Ireland, he points out.

He adds that the current tax system should be overhauled, to encourage more movement in the property market.

Genevieve Moore, another partner at Blick Rothenberg, claims the Chancellor should update the principal private resident relief, as it is complicated and outdated, and does not cater for modern living patterns.

She also believes that the main residence nil-rate band should be abolished and replaced with an increase to the nil-rate band to £500,000 per person (or £1m per married couple). She insists that the provisions are complicated and prejudiced against people who do not have direct descendants.

Finance Experts Discuss Their Thoughts on the Forthcoming Autumn Statement

Finance Experts Discuss Their Thoughts on the Forthcoming Autumn Statement

Moore also says that the Chancellor should abolish the 8% Capital Gains Tax surcharge on residential property disposals, so that capital gains are taxed at 20%, and that new measures could be introduced to prevent people from incorporating their property portfolios into companies.

Affordable housing 

Frank Nash, also a partner at the firm, believes that Hammond should use the tax system to boost the supply of affordable housing, by introducing capital taxation reliefs to incentivise landowners and developers to assist local authorities in meeting their affordable housing targets.

Pensions

Shah states that Hammond could reduce the pension annual allowance from £40,000 to £20,000.

However, Moore believes that he should scrap the pension annual allowance and lifetime allowance, to encourage people to save for their retirement, and instead introduce a cap on the amount that can be drawn tax-free on retirement.

VAT

Alan Pearce, VAT partner at Blick Rothenberg, says that the Chancellor should re-introduce postponed accounting for import VAT. This would allow businesses to offset import VAT via their quarterly VAT returns, rather than having to pay it at the point of importation and claim it back up to three months later, he explains. He believes that this would be a significant administrative easement and would assist cashflow for UK businesses that import goods. Although it would bring a one-off cashflow hit, the Government’s revenues shouldn’t be affected.

He claims that this would allow the UK to compete on an equal footing with other EU countries, notably the Netherlands and now France (who adopted the treatment from 1st October). The countries that operate a postponed accounting regime often promote it as an incentive to do business there, rather than the UK, he warns. This would therefore become more important in the run-up to Brexit and beyond.

Investment 

Moore believes that Hammond should fix the Annual Investment Allowance at £500,000 and keep it fixed for five years, to encourage businesses to spend and invest in capital projects.

Non-domiciled individuals 

Shah claims that the Chancellor should postpone any changes to non-domicile legislation until the full effect of Brexit is understood. The non-domicile taxation regime has been a cornerstone of the UK’s tax legislation for decades and Britain’s attractiveness as an international centre, he explains. There is a compelling argument to refresh and modernise the regime, but the timing of doing this now does not seem appropriate, he adds.

Brexit

The firm believes that the Government shouldn’t make any changes to the tax legislation until the Brexit strategy becomes clearer.

However, it points out that the Chancellor has been considerably less vocal than his predecessor, George Osborne, in the weeks running up to the Autumn Statement, which could suggest a move to a more quiet announcement.

Traditionally, the Autumn Statement was used to provide a status update and set the scene for March’s Budget. Osborne’s time as chancellor brought more attention to the announcement, by using it to introduce new measures as well.

We will continue to keep you updated on the forthcoming Autumn Statement at LandlordNews.co.uk and on social media.

Where will see the largest property price increases in the next 5 years?

Published On: November 10, 2016 at 9:56 am

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A new report has revealed the UK regions expected to see the greatest levels of property price growth in the next five years.

The 2017 outlook report from Strutt & Parker suggests that Greater London, the South East and the East of England will perform best over the timeframe.

Property price increases

London is estimated to see prices increases by 16.5%, the South East 16% and the East of England 14.2%. However, ongoing uncertainty caused by Brexit and economic pressures makes forecasting growth very difficult.

Stephanie McMahon, Strutt & Parker’s head of research, observed: ‘’The differing of opinions between forecasters going into 2017 is an indicator of the uncertainty currently going on in the market, things are far more difficult to predict than usual because of the high number of upcoming global events.’[1]

‘Article 50 may or may not be triggered by the end of March 2017-we just don’t know at the moment and so the potential impact is difficult to call. It is crucial that we view the UK through the prism of global investment stability,’ she continued.[1]

Where will see the largest property price increases in the next 5 years?

Where will see the largest property price increases in the next 5 years?

Fundamentals

McMahon believes that given the uncertain nature of the economy and sector, ‘we need to go back to looking at the fundamentals of the UK’s property market. When compared to the rest of the world, we have benign corporation tax, mid-level residential property tax, a favourable GMT time zone, we speak in the international business language and have huge depth of markets and skills. As a result, our economy is currently holding up better than perhaps many expected following the European Union referendum.’[1]

She also believes that rising inflation will have an impact during 2017, noting: ‘It is important that the Government quickly addresses the undercurrent of the Brexit voting and encourages growth in the regions.’[1]

[1] http://www.propertywire.com/news/europe/london-south-east-england-set-see-best-property-prices-2017/

Trump Win Could Boost Prime Central London Property Market

Published On: November 10, 2016 at 9:37 am

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Yesterday’s Trump win in the US presidential election could provide a welcome boost to the prime central London property market, according to recent research.

The latest study by online estate agent eMoov.co.uk found that demand in the prime central London property market has risen by 11% since August, now standing at an average of 10%.

Trump Win Could Boost Prime Central London Property Market

Trump Win Could Boost Prime Central London Property Market

Trump’s surprising victory could further this apparent resurgence in the prime central London property market, as Americans may begin to look across the pond at potential investment opportunities.

eMoov’s Prime Central London Property Index records the change in supply and demand for properties worth over £1m across the capital’s most prestigious areas, by monitoring the total number of homes sold in comparison to those on the market on the major online property portals.

Following June’s Brexit vote, the prime central London property market took a turn for the worst, slumping to the lowest demand levels on the agent’s records. However, this initial scare appears to have passed, as the market starts to find its feet again.

It is widely believed that this week’s Trump win could deliver a further boost to these areas, and could see them return to their former glory.

Chiswick is currently the most in-demand area of prime central London, at 24%, up by a huge 62% since August – the second largest increase of all the locations included in the report.

Islington, at 16%, Belsize Park, at 13%, Notting Hill, at 12%, Holland Park, at 12%, Fulham, at 12%, and Maida Vale, at 10%, are the only other prime central London areas enjoying double-digit demand. However, other than Fulham, which has seen a rise of 37%, all have experienced a drop in demand since August, along with five other locations.

Demand for homes in Mayfair has dropped by 5% since August, and is currently the coldest spot in prime central London for property demand, at just 3%.

Alongside Chiswick and Fulham, four other areas have experienced an uplift in demand. Belgravia has seen the greatest increase of all prime central London locations, at 76%. Fitzrovia, at 49%, is the third largest rise, behind Chiswick.

Kensington, at 13%, and Chelsea, at 3%, trail behind Fulham as the only other areas to have experienced an increase in buyer demand.

The Founder and CEO of eMoov, Russell Quirk, comments on the report: “Today we’ve seen another historic and unexpected turn of events where the voting public is concerned. The decision to leave the EU back in June sent panic reverberating across the top end London market, and we saw buyer demand drop to its lowest level on record.

“Since then, the market has begun to find its feet again, and we’ve seen the slight green shoots of a prime central market sprout from the rubble. Ironically, it could be this second political vote that helps bolster demand in London’s top tier market and help grow these initial shoots further.”

But will Americans really decide to flee the US now that Trump is president? We explore the possibilities: /will-americans-flee-uk-trump-president/

Rental yields might not be a measure of success

Published On: November 9, 2016 at 2:55 pm

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A leading market peer has stated that traditional measures of gauging buy-to-let success are changing.

Property expert Kate Faulkner suggests that rental yields are not necessarily a key indicator of a successful investment.

Appreciation

Faulkner believes that falling capital appreciation and small rent rises in many regions have led many yields to improve.

However, she feels that other factors and obstacles obstructing landlords making profits are not being taken into account. These include costs to landlords covering:

  • health and safety
  • energy efficiency
  • reduced tax benefits
  • phased cut in landlords mortgage interest tax relief
Rental yields might not be a measure of success

Rental yields might not be a measure of success

Writing in her latest Propertychecklists newsletter to clients, Faulkner said: ‘Although yields are a useful measure when buying, they won’t help landlords understand the impact of lower profitability levels moving forward. It is essential that landlords who have posted their tax returns now take these to a property tax expert to understand the future viability of their investment and to know if they are likely to have to put money in.’[1]

Warning

In addition, Faulkner issued a warning for investors in the North of England. She said that those taking advantage of low purchase prices and better capital yields should future-proof their profitability by making sure capital growth is secure when they buy, in comparison to relying on natural price growth to deliver their returns.

[1] https://www.lettingagenttoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2016/11/yield-no-longer-the-key-measure-of-buy-to-let-profitability-says-lettings-expert

 

 

So Will Americans Flee to the UK Now that Trump is President?

Published On: November 9, 2016 at 11:20 am

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It’s official – Donald Trump will become the 45th president of the United States of America following yesterday’s astonishing election.

So Will Americans Flee to the UK Now that Trump is President?

So Will Americans Flee to the UK Now that Trump is President?

So will Americans flee their homeland and buy a home in the UK now that Trump is president?

Ahead of the election, we released reports from property agents in the UK that many US citizens are looking to flee the country, depending on the outcome of the vote. Some home sales were already linked to both potential results.

But was it the possibility of Trump that was putting them off staying in the US?

Earlier in the year, a poll of 2,000 registered voters revealed that 28% were considering leaving the States if Trump was elected, with many citing Canada and the UK as likely destinations.

And judging by the fact that Canada’s immigration site has crashed since the outcome was announced, it appears that many will be following through with their plans.

We will have to wait and see whether the UK finds itself bombarded with immigration requests from US citizens now that Trump is victorious!

And what a stunning victory – The Republican nominee defied pre-election polling, claiming swing states such as Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, to beat Democrat Hillary Clinton.

As poll counting went late into the night, it was Trump’s shock victory in Wisconsin that put him over the 270 out of 538 electoral college votes needed to win the White House.

And while the new president was quick to congratulate Clinton on her efforts and service, Trump went on to call on all Americans to “come together as one united people”.

With so many US citizens already looking into immigration options, and many showing interest in property across the pond, it seems that Trump’s dream may not be so straightforward.

What do you think of the new president? And do you think Americans will indeed flee to the UK now that Trump is in office?

New rental listings rise by 11% in October

Published On: November 9, 2016 at 11:11 am

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Categories: Property News

New research from crowdfunding platform Property Partner indicates that the rental market experienced a rebound during October, with a rise in listings.

According to the platform, there was a 11.4% rise in new buy-to-let properties being advertised.

Listings growth

After a slow September, almost two thirds (66.3%) of the UK’s major towns and cities saw growth of new rental property listings.

The study assessed 89 UK towns and cities and analysed the number of new rental properties listed between the 1st and 28th October, then compared them to the same period in September.

Swansea led the way with a magnificent rise of 210.9% in new buy-to-let properties listed during the last month. In actual terms, there were 314 new homes listed, in comparison to 101 in September.

Newcastle-upon-Tyne (194%), Sheffield (134.6%) and Leicester (125,4%) also saw significant rises in rental property listings.

On the other hand, new rental stock in London slipped by 3%, following a rise of 1.4% in September.

The overall figures come as a boost to the sector, after a separate report suggested new buy-to-let activity was down 13.3% in the year to October.

New rental listings rise by 11% in October

New rental listings rise by 11% in October

Reassurance

Dan Gandesha, CEO of Property Partner, observed: ‘After last month’s lower than expected figures, October’s surge in new buy-to-let listings is reassuring. Instead of September, heralding in a new era for depressed rental levels-as some predicted-it’s instead starting to look like the market was caught by a prolonged summer lull.’[1]

‘A quarter of homes bought over the summer months were either BTL or second homes, according to the HMRC, and this new rental stock is now finally hitting the market. But landlords have had to grin and bear a barrage of bad news – a hike in stamp duty, cuts in mortgage interest tax relief from next year, and tougher lending criteria. Profits have shrivelled especially in the South East, and a recent forecast by a leading high street agent of rents across the UK rising faster than house prices over the next five years, is hardly surprising,’ he continued.[1]

Negative affect

Mr Gandesha went on to say that: ‘Many traditional landlords though will be feeling the pinch and perhaps doubting if it’s worth the hassle, particularly in the South East. If significant numbers of investors start selling up then rental supply could be negatively affected.’[1]

‘By the New Year, we should have a better indication of how buy-to-let investor confidence is faring after the uncertainty of this year, but in the short term, October’s buoyant figures are encouraging,’ he concluded.[4]

[1] http://www.propertyreporter.co.uk/landlords/btl-listings-up-11-in-october.html