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Em Morley

‘Buy as you go’ plan to make renters homeowners

Published On: November 7, 2016 at 10:19 am

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Struggling families who are just about able to keep up with their rental costs will get the chance to purchase their property, after 25 years of paying rents.

This new proposal, entitled, ‘buy as you go’ is expected to be announced during a wider revamp of the housing market towards the end of this month. Buyers will not require to have paid a deposit or require a mortgage. Instead, they will build up equity in their homes over time.

Housing

This policy is due to be unveiled in the Chancellor’s Autumn Statement. It is believed that the National Housing Federation has informed ministers that housing associations will be able to purchase 335,000 homes in the next four years. This will include a substantial number on a ‘buy as you go tenure’, if additional funding is provided.

Proposed rents paid by people in ‘buy as you go’ would be roughly 90% of the market rate in the local region. The split between rent and equity payments would change over time, until the tenant is in a position to own outright.

Private renters normally pay around 47% of their take-home pay to their landlord. This means that a large number of would-be homeowners on a low wage have little or no chance of saving for a deposit.

A recent report has revealed that tenants in the capital face a 25% increase in rents over the next five years. The average interest in the rest of the country is due to be around 19%.

Priorities

Top Government sources said that Downing Street is determined to improve the chances of long-term renters owning their own property.

This proposal comes as Labour has released new figures which indicate that the fall in homeownership seen since 2010 has been worst for those in the north of England.

Data from the Government’s English Housing Survey indicates that between 2010 and 2015, the number of homeowners in the north of England has fallen by more than 130,000.

This problem has been particularly prominent in younger households in the North, with 90,000 fewer homeowners under 45 recorded in Yorkshire, and 100,000 in the North-West.

'Buy as you go' plan to make renters homeowners

‘Buy as you go’ plan to make renters homeowners

Failures

Shadow housing secretary John Healey, noted: ‘Six years of failure on housing under the Tories have meant a big drop in homeownership for young people right across the country, with the fall sharpest in the north of England.’[1]

‘This is no longer just a problem for London and the south-east, but a national problem that requires new national leadership. Short-term gimmicks from Conservative ministers over the last six years were too often designed to give the Conservatives a poll boost rather than real support to first-time buyers on ordinary incomes. Young people are now paying a price for this failure,’ he added.[1]

Young people are now paying a price for this failure,’ he added.[1]

[1] https://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/nov/05/rising-rents-force-housing-policy-change-homes-tory

 

US Property Buyers Ready to Flee to the UK Following Election Result

Published On: November 7, 2016 at 10:18 am

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UK estate agents are reporting booming interest from US property buyers looking to flee their country following this week’s presidential election result. Some property deals are already linked to the outcome of the vote.

One agent, Toby Cockcroft, the Director of Croft UK Real Estate, has seen inquiries rise by 50-60% this year, and is setting up a buying agency on the east coast of the USA to meet demand.

He says: “We have recently agreed sales on smaller-end £400,000-£500,000 properties from US buyers, and we are also retained to act for half a dozen who are looking to invest significant wealth by way of property.

US Property Buyers Ready to Flee to the UK Following Election Result

US Property Buyers Ready to Flee to the UK Following Election Result

“Initially, there was lots of interest due to the pound, but the uncertainty over the election is putting the fear of god into Americans.”

He explains: “Americans are looking for stability and security, and, with the scariness and uncertainty that the election could bring, they are looking to set up shop elsewhere.

“The Trump factor is often the first thing that gets mentioned, but, either way, many Americans don’t think it’s great and aren’t sure about Clinton either.”

Carter Jonas has also reported sky-high demand in the capital. Tim Macpherson, the Head of London Residential for the agent, comments: “As Trump and Clinton continue their battle for the White House, inquiries from American buyers for property in prime central London are rocketing, and we have a number of deals linked to the election outcome.

“Buyers are in despair over the prospect of Trump as president – not just because they dislike him as a person or because they disagree with his policies, but because they think he will destroy the US economy.

“It’s of little surprise that the shrewd amongst them are acting fast to move their assets to the safety of the UK.”

He adds: “Indeed, there is much speculation that a Trump victory could create a bounce in London’s property market – particularly in areas such as Mayfair, which is the traditional heartland of US buyers.

“With the dollar performing with such strength against the pound, it could perpetuate the buoyancy that we’ve already witnessed across prime central London post-Brexit.”

The boom arrives as data from agent Stirling Ackroyd shows that the cost of the average London home has dropped by 9.2% for US property buyers over the last 12 months, due to the drop in the pound from $1.53 to $1.23.

Earlier this year, a Morning Consult/Vox poll of almost 2,000 registered voters found that 28% of Americans have at least considered leaving the USA if Trump is elected, with many citing Canada and the UK as likely destinations.

The Head of Residential Development at Stirling Ackroyd, Nick Davies, states: “For Americans left cursing Clinton or terrified of Trump, it’s worth considering a move to London. The recent fall in the value of the pound against the dollar means there are great deals available in the London market for buyers from across the Atlantic.

“While the capital’s house prices have risen 13% year-on-year for domestic buyers, those using the dollar will find homes in London are almost 10% cheaper than a year ago.

“With the culture of the West End, thousands of years of history and fantastic employment opportunities, London has lots to offer US buyers, aside from a declining cost of living. And, of course, British winters aren’t as cold as Canada’s.”

House Price Growth Slows Again to 5.2%

Published On: November 7, 2016 at 9:36 am

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House price growth has slowed yet again, to 5.2% on an annual basis, according to the latest House Price Index from Halifax.

Quarter-on-quarter, prices rose by just 0.1%. However, this is a slight improvement on last month’s decrease of 0.1%. The quarterly rate of growth has dropped from a peak of 3% in February.

Average house price

Following a monthly change of 1.4% between September and October, the average house price now stands at £217,411.

House Price Growth Slows Again to 5.2%

House Price Growth Slows Again to 5.2%

October’s 5.2% rate of growth is the lowest annual increase recorded since July 2013 (4.6%), reports Halifax.

However, the monthly rise seen in October marks the second consecutive month of growth.

Property market activity

Home sales have broadly stabilised over the past few months. Despite monthly fluctuations, sales have largely plateaued in recent months following the distortions seen earlier in the year, caused by the rush to complete on purchases ahead of the introduction of higher Stamp Duty for additional properties.

Nevertheless, home sales in the third quarter (Q3) were 8% lower than the same period last year, indicating an overall softening in activity.

Mortgage approvals have also steadied, reports Halifax. The volume of mortgage approvals for house purchases – a leading indicator of completed sales – rose in September; the first monthly increase for four months.

Overall, the amount of approvals seems to have broadly stabilised over the last three months, albeit at a lower level than a year ago. Approvals in Q3 2016 were 12% lower than in Q3 2015.

The bank also reports that supply remains historically low. Housing stock was largely flat over the three months from July to September, but remains around the lowest levels ever recorded.

The Housing Economist at Halifax, Martin Ellis, comments: “House prices in the three months to October were largely unchanged compared with the previous quarter. The annual rate of growth continued on its recent downward trend, easing to 5.2%.

“Activity levels, like house price growth, have softened compared with a year ago. Home sales, however, appear to have stabilised in recent months, following the distortions earlier in the year due to the changes to Stamp Duty in April.”

He continues: “Annual house price growth has nearly halved from a peak of 10% in March this year, but remains robust at 5.2%. This expected slowdown appears to have been largely due to mounting affordability pressures, which have increasingly constrained housing demand. Whilst house price growth may ease further in the coming months, very low mortgage rates and a shortage of properties available for sale should help support price levels.”

The Co-Founder and Director of online mortgage lender LendInvest, Ian Thomas, also responds to the index: “October has seen a flattening out of house price growth, with a real effect of the Stamp Duty changes feeding through to reduced market demand. This is something that we are seeing the industry call on the Government to address in the upcoming Autumn Statement and housing white paper publication.

“Many are forecasting that the property market may see a slowdown, as the uncertainty around Britain’s withdrawal from the European Union impacts on customer confidence.”

Rental price growth slowed during October

Published On: November 4, 2016 at 12:36 pm

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The rate of rental price  growth in Britain slowed to 0.05% during the month to October, according to the latest findings from the Landbay Rental Index.

Data from the report indicates that growth has slowed marginally from the 0.09% seen in September.

Rental Growth

The top level of rental growth seen over the last twelve months was in Luton, with 7.11%. Edinburgh City and Northamptonshire also saw decent growth, of 5.63% and 5.59% respectively.

Nine of the top ten rental growth regions were found to be in England.

On the other end of the scale, Aberdeen saw the largest falls in rent, with prices down -13.22%. Aberdeenshire too saw a large drop, of -9.03%.

Falls in the last year were also seen in Inverclyde (-2.39%) and Dundee City (-0.87%). In London, it was a mixed market, with four prime boroughs, Westminster, Kensington and Chelsea, Richmond and Camden, amongst the largest fallers.

Scotland has seen rents rise by an average of 1.55% in the last twelve months, the fastest of all the Home Nations.

The figures below indicate how rents have changed by region year-on-year:

Top 10 Annual % Change (YoY)
RANK REGION GEOGRAPHY VALUE
1 East England Luton 7.11%
2 Scotland Edinburgh City 5.63%
3 East Midlands Northamptonshire 5.59%
4 South East Medway 4.59%
5 East England Bedfordshire 4.58%
6 South West Swindon 4.57%
7 East England Thurrock 4.26%
8 South East Reading 4.21%
9 East England Peterborough 4.19%
10 South West Bristol 4.15%

[1]

Bottom 10 Annual % Change (YoY)
RANK REGION GEOGRAPHY VALUE
1 Scotland Aberdeen City -13.22%
2 Scotland Aberdeenshire -9.03%
3 Scotland Inverclyde -2.39%
4 London Westminster -1.86%
5 London Kensington and Chelsea -1.81%
6 North East Redcar and Cleveland -1.32%
7 London Richmond upon Thames -0.99%
8 London Camden -0.93%
9 Scotland Dundee City -0.87%
10 Wales Ceredigion -0.71%

[1]

Rental price growth slowed during October

Rental price growth slowed during October

Falls

The average rent in the UK is now £1,188. In London, the average is £1,889!

John Goodall, CEO and co-founder of Landbay, said: ‘Rental growth is slowing across the UK, but the pace of change varies wildly between regions. Falling rents in some of the most expensive parts of the country, especially prime London locations, can distort the picture for the rest of England and the UK where rents are continuing to grow at a steady pace. In the last month alone, rents fell by -0.11% in London, while they continued an upward climb of 0.15% in the rest of England.’[1]

‘Any moderation in rental price inflation will always be welcomed by generation rent, the swelling population of aspiring homeowners and long term tenants. As this month’s Autumn Statement comes over the horizon, all eyes will be on how the UK’s chronic housing shortage will be addressed. Unless supply catches up with demand, there’s nothing to suggest overall rents will go in any direction other than up,’ he added.[1]

[1] https://www.landlordtoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2016/11/rental-price-growth-slowed-in-october

 

Property supply slowdown in October

Published On: November 4, 2016 at 11:09 am

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After a burst of activity in the UK market during September, figures for property supply in October are subdued in comparison.

Nationally, figures for sold property stood at 0.3% and for sale -11.2%, according to the latest Property Activity Index from Agency Express.

Decline

A seasonal decline in October comes as little surprise, but the figures recorded this year are greater than those at the same period 12 months ago. Then, new listings were down -4.3%, while sold properties were at 2.7%.

Just four of the twelve regions assessed by the Property Activity Index saw increases in properties sold, while none recorded increases in new listings for sale.

The top performing region was the West Midlands, where figures for properties sold rose for the second straight month to stand at 13%. Listings for sale saw a decline to -4.9%. Over a three month period, new listings were down by -3.9% overall.

At the other end of the scale, the largest declines were seen in the North East. Here, after a strong September, figures for October fell sharply. New listings for sale dropped to hit -31.2%, while properties sold were at -18.1%.

In the twelve regions investigated, the best in terms of properties for sold were:

South West-10%

London-6.4%

North West 5.8%

And for new listings for sale, the best figures were seen in:

Wales- -0.4%

East Anglia- -7.6%

Property supply slowdown for October

Property supply slowdown for October

Slowdown

Stephen Watson, Managing Director of Agency Express, observed: ‘During October we traditionally observe a seasonal slowdown, however this month’s Property Activity Index has shown one consistent trend across the UK and that is a slowdown in supply. As we head in to the last few months of the year it is unlikely that we will see any major increases. However, if the slowdown in supply continues it will be interesting to see how the market picks up in the New Year where a spike in supply is expected.’[1]

[1] Property Activity Index Press Release, ‘October 2016 Sales Report’ 04.11.16

Changes to mortgage interest tax relief plans unlikely

Published On: November 4, 2016 at 10:01 am

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Investors expecting a U-turn on mortgage interest tax relief changes to be included in the Autumn Statement are expected to be disappointed, according to an industry peer.

Talking at the Financial Services Expo in Coventry yesterday, David Whittaker of Mortgages for Business, braced landlords for disappointment.

Problems

Mr Whittaker said: ‘Hammond hasn’t got ownership of this problem, so doesn’t have to fix it. Once HMRC has a line of income coming in, if the Government gets rid of it, they’re going to ask how it’s going to be replaced. Tinkering with this would not be welcomed.’[1]

Continuing, Whittaker suggested that the buy-to-let sector was unlikely to see a surge in new lenders, should these potential changes be introduced.

He noted: ‘I think other potential new entrants will be sitting it out for a while. I certainly wouldn’t be looking to launch a lender into these unchartered waters.’[1]

Changes to mortgage interest tax relief plans unlikely

Changes to mortgage interest tax relief plans unlikely

Relaxed

Whittaker also outlined his opinion that buy-to-let lending levels in general could relax in the next two years. Lenders getting to grips with the PRA’s requirements and the greater paperwork affecting portfolio landlords will become a burden for many.

‘In terms of gross lending I think we are looking at £40bn next year if we’re lucky; in 2018 we could then see a 10-15% drop,” he said. “I think the market will log-jam and lenders will take fright; some lenders don’t know where to start when it comes to collecting the paperwork required [by the new portfolio landlord rules,’ Whittaker noted.[1]

[1] http://www.propertyreporter.co.uk/finance/no-u-turn-likely-on-mortgage-interest-tax-relief-changes.html