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Does the Redfern Review Have Any Real Solutions to the Housing Crisis?

Published On: November 17, 2016 at 12:03 pm

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The Redfern Review, an independent assessment of the decline of homeownership, has now been released, after being commissioned in February by the Labour Party.

Led by Pete Redfern, the Chief Executive of housebuilder Taylor Wimpey, the report reviews the state of the property market in the UK and how this has created the current housing crisis. The full study can be accessed here: http://www.redfernreview.org

Fortunately, Redfern’s review isn’t obviously stuffed with measures that would benefit housebuilders.

Does the Redfern Review Have Any Real Solutions to the Housing Crisis?

Does the Redfern Review Have Any Real Solutions to the Housing Crisis?

For example, it doesn’t recommend that the Government throw yet more schemes at homebuyers, in the style of the former chancellor, George Osborne. Instead, the Redfern Review states that Help to Buy schemes are inflationary and should be restricted to first time buyers seeking lower-priced homes.

And the report doesn’t simply focus on homeownership either.

“A fair housing market also needs both a healthy private rented sector and a supportive social housing sector,” it insists.

Over the past 30 years, past governments’ focus on homeownership has deprived local authorities of the funds needed to build affordable homes to rent. Positively, the review argues that all tenure types require equal support.

Disappointingly, however, the report does not offer fresh insight into why homeownership levels dropped by 6.2% between 2002-14. The main finding is exactly as you’d expect: Fewer young people can afford to buy their own homes. Also unsurprisingly, it confirms that house prices rose rapidly before the banking crisis, credit constraints then kicked in, and incomes of those aged 28-40 have declined in relation to older people.

But Redfern does have one original suggestion: Set up an independent housing commission, modelled on the new Infrastructure Commission, to provide long-term thinking on housing. Although this does not provide an instant resolution to the housing crisis, it does highlight the fact that longer-term plans must be put in place to sustain the supply of homes.

While Labour commissioned the report, Theresa May could use its suggestions to form a new housing policy that may indeed go some way to resolving the crisis.

The Policy Manager of Generation Rent, a tenant lobby group, Dan Wilson Craw, responds to the findings of the Redfern Review: “The decline in homeownership is creating significant problems for the future, particularly once renters reach retirement age and depend on the state to put a roof over their heads. The solution is not to load first time buyers with more debt, but to restrain house price inflation so wages can catch up.

“The desperation of private renters to escape their expensive, unstable tenure makes subdued first time buyer numbers a bigger problem than it ought to be. Alongside investment in new homes, the Government should reform renting so it offers tenants stable homes and a genuine choice of tenure.”

Renters’ Rights Bill to be debated tomorrow

Published On: November 17, 2016 at 10:59 am

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Fees able to be charged by letting agents will be discussed tomorrow in the House of Lords, as the Renters’ Rights Bill takes stage in the upper house.

The proposal was put forwards as a Private Members Bill by Liberal Democrat peer Baroness Grender, but is unlikely to become law outright. However, Private Members’ Bills have a record of highlighting features that are later put into legislation.

Scrapping of fees

Grender’s measure outlines the scrapping of agents’ fees for tenants. It calls for an amendment to the Landlord and Tenant Act 1985, to stop agents in England by charging both existing tenants or prospective tenants.

She calls for no charges to tenants for registering, administration, inventories or reference checks, alongside free renewal or exit fees.

In addition, Baroness Grender has called for the mandatory registration of landlords and caps of the size of deposits. What’s more, the proposals request an automatic ban for any agent or landlord named on a ‘rogue operator’ database from being given a HMO licence.

Renters' Rights Bill to be debated tomorrow

Renters’ Rights Bill to be debated tomorrow

Support

Last time the measure was debated in the House of Lords, it received substantial all-party backing. At this debate in June, Baroness Grender told the Lords that consumer protection for private sector tenants was less developed than in other commercial activities.

Grender observed that renters are, ‘often at the mercy of landlords and lettings agents.’[1]

‘It’s time for the Government intervention to address this imbalance of power and build up the consumer rights of renters….Letting agents should not be able to get away with double charging fees, imposing them on both tenants and landlords, when in fact it is only the landlord that is the client,’ she added.[1]

[1] https://www.lettingagenttoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2016/11/letting-agents-fees-to-be-discussed-in-house-of-lords-tomorrow

 

Crest Nicholson Contributing to Much-Needed Housing Supply, According to Latest Update

Published On: November 17, 2016 at 10:37 am

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Housebuilder Crest Nicholson is contributing to much-needed housing supply, according to its latest trading update.

The firm has continued to increase housing supply in 2016, with open-market unit completions up by 7%, to 2,292, and overall housing delivery up by 5%.

Open-market selling prices have risen by an average of 20%, to £371,000, in line with Crest Nicholson’s well-established strategy to reposition the business at this level by 2016.

Crest Nicholson Contributing to Much-Needed Housing Supply, According to Latest Update

Crest Nicholson Contributing to Much-Needed Housing Supply, According to Latest Update

Underlying sales rates for the year, excluding private rental sector properties, averaged 0.81 sales per outlet per week, down from 0.90 in 2015. This reduction in sales rates in part reflects the firm’s higher average selling price. In addition, sales volumes temporarily dropped during June and July as a result of the EU referendum vote, which caused an increase in the number of cancellations.

By the beginning of August, homebuyer confidence had largely recovered, reports the housebuilder, and sales rates in the last quarter averaged 0.77 – the same level as 2015.

The firm has continued to make selective additions to its short-term land pipeline, while also achieving planning consents on seven strategic sites. A further 20 of its strategic sites are included in allocations or draft allocations and are progressing through the planning process.

Sales in the month of October, excluding the private rental sector, continued at a similar level to the past quarter as a whole, averaging 0.77 sales per outlet per week – up from 0.75 in the same month of 2015. This slight increase in sales has generated a rise in reservations, of 17%, and revenue growth of 57%.

The housebuilder’s forward sales, at £344.5m, are 5% higher than in 2015 (£328.9m), signalling a return in consumer confidence.

Having delivered on its 2013 target to build 2,500 units per year, Crest Nicholson has now set a goal to increase housing supply by 4,000 units and revenue to £1.4 billion by 2019.

Attractive housing market conditions continue to support sales rates and revenue growth, insists the firm. In spite of initial uncertainty following the EU referendum in June, homebuyers are largely returning to the market, as high employment rates, good mortgage access and low interest rates continue to make it a very good time to buy a home.

It adds that sales price and build cost inflation have both moderated over the second half of the year, which will help to maintain affordability and support a stable housing market.

With a strong balance sheet, good land pipeline and a robust business model, Crest Nicholson believes it is well placed to continue on its growth trajectory and contribute to the much-needed housing supply in the UK.

Commenting on the update, the Chief Executive of Crest Nicholson, Stephen Stone, says: “I am pleased to report that we are increasing the number of homes built, opening new sites and ensuring that the pipeline of land that fuels our business is progressing steadily through planning.

“There has never been a better time for housebuilding, and Crest Nicholson remains well positioned to grow volumes and deliver the homes that the UK needs.”

The update follows the latest report from Taylor Wimpey, which states that the housing market will remain strong.

Bank of England receives new powers to ease BTL lending

Published On: November 17, 2016 at 10:06 am

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The Bank of England is to receive new powers from the Government in order to regulate mortgages for small-scale buy-to-let landlords, Chancellor Phillip Hammond has announced.

From early next year, the Bank will be able to limit loan-to-value ratios on buy-to-let mortgages, alongside the minimum amount by which the predicted rental income from a home will exceed mortgage interest payments. This move has been designed to help protect the financial system from any future risks in the buy-to-let market.

Powers

Initially, the Bank had asked for these powers over two years ago, with the Government holding a consultation in early 2016.

Chancellor Hammond observed: ‘It is crucial that Britain’s independent regulators have the tools they need to keep our financial system as a safe as possible. Expanding the number of tools at the Financial Policy Committee’s disposal will ensure that the buy-to-let sector can continue to make an important contribution to our economy, while allowing the regulator to address any potential risks to financial stability.’[1]

Buy-to-let investment has outperformed all other major asset classes in recent years. However, the Government’s decision to introduce measures to deter buy-to-let landlords has raised concern that the windfall could soon be coming to an end.

Bank of England receives new powers to ease BTL lending

Bank of England receives new powers to ease BTL lending

Alterations

The introduction of the 3% stamp duty surcharge on buy-to-let properties is just one of the measures introduced with the intention of levelling the playing field between homeowners and investors. Mortgage interest tax relief is to be phased out from next year, with the wear and tear allowance also scrapped.

Now, the introduction of new powers for the Bank of England’s Financial Policy Committee could make it even trickier to get a mortgage.

As such, could it be that the buy-to-let market is suddenly be becoming an unattractive proposition?

[1] https://www.landlordtoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2016/11/bank-of-england-gets-new-powers-to-curb-buy-to-let-lending

 

 

Landlord Wins Council Tax Liability Court Case

Published On: November 17, 2016 at 9:34 am

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Landlord Wins Council Tax Liability Court Case

Landlord Wins Council Tax Liability Court Case

A landlord in Leeds has won a Council Tax liability court case, following an appeal by Leeds City Council. The Residential Landlords Association (RLA) has spoken on behalf of all landlords, saying it is pleased with the win.

The Appeal Court made the judgement that landlords are not responsible for paying Council Tax on a property after a tenant has moved out if the tenancy agreement hasn’t expired yet.

The appeal, brought by Leeds City Council, had demanded a landlord to pay Council Tax on five properties for periods when the homes were empty but either the landlord or his tenants had not formally ended the tenancies.

The tenancies in question were contractual periodic tenancies following a fixed term. The Council argued that a single tenancy cannot be both a fixed term and periodic contract. The landlord retaliated, saying that the contract created a single tenancy of six months and thereafter continued as a monthly tenancy. This would have the same effect as a fixed term Assured Shorthold Tenancy (AST), insists the RLA.

Leeds City Council appealed against a High Court rejection of its claim, saying there was no uncertainty of term and that the Council Tax liability remained with the tenant and not the landlord.

The RLA intervened in the case on behalf of all landlords.

David Smith, the Policy Director of the RLA, reacts: “The RLA is very pleased with this decision, which upholds the basic principles of tenure.”

Do you agree with the outcome of the court case?

The RLA has put together a helpful guide for UK landlords on who is responsible for paying Council Tax and when it is due: http://www.rla.org.uk/landlord/guides/liability_for_council_tax.shtml

Following this recent case, you will have the protection against paying Council Tax if your tenant has moved out, but the tenancy has not yet come to an end.

Investors to look outside London for growth spots

Published On: November 16, 2016 at 12:57 pm

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A new survey has revealed that investors will look outside of the capital during 2017, as other regions continue to grow.

The investigation from RSM revealed that over half of respondents feel property prices in London will rise in 2017, albeit at a slower pace than previously. One third said prices would stay constant, while 14% anticipate a fall.

Outside capital growth

When asked to name which region outside of London will see the highest growth in 2017, the South East was most popular, with 28%. The North West recorded 18% of votes, while the South West and West Midlands came joint third with 11%.

61% said that the spiralling cost of housing in London and the South East will generate further growth in the sector.

For those responding to the impact of interest deduction plans, opinion was divided. 38% said there would be no change on residential real estate acquisitions. 37% thought the number would reduce.

Nearly two-thirds forecast overseas investors to continue to be prominent, accounting for 30 and 60% of the total commercial property investment in 2017.

70% of those questioned said they anticipate the cost of borrowing to stay the same, whole 8% feel rates could fall further.

Investors to look outside London for growth spots

Investors to look outside London for growth spots

Quiet optimism?

Howard Freedman, RSM’s head of real estate and construction said: ‘2016 has been an eventful year for the UK real estate sector. There was significant growth in 2015 with a considerable number of deals concluding throughout the year. At the beginning of 2016, however, the sector paused for breath. Transaction levels started to fall amid concerns that the market was topping out. The EU referendum added further uncertainty and changes to Stamp Duty Land Tax rules and updates to income and inheritance tax also cooled the residential market, particularly in Central London.’[1]

‘Our latest survey shows that despite these setbacks, there is a degree of optimism around price growth in 2017, with a renewed interest in the prospects for the UK regions. There is of course concern around a lack of investor interest following the Brexit vote, but our survey suggests that over the long term the UK real estate market remains one of the more favourable opportunities for both domestic and overseas buyers,’ he continued.[1]

Concluding, Freedman noted: ‘Now more than ever, investors and developers must focus on the fundamentals of property investment: location, sub-type and quality of tenant. Those that hold their nerve and stick to these principles will reap the biggest rewards in the year ahead.’[1]

[1] http://www.propertyreporter.co.uk/finance/property-investors-predicted-to-look-outside-the-capital-for-growth-in-2017.html