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Em

Em Morley

Who was closest with their predictions for rental growth in 2016?

Published On: January 9, 2017 at 10:03 am

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Categories: Property News

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A sales and lettings firm has conducted interesting research into how accurate predictions made for rental growth by property experts were during 2016.

Surprisingly given the turbulent nature of the last year, many forecasts were actually very close to being correct.

Predictions

The analysis of property market predictions was made by sales and lettings firm KIS and revealed that estate agents Knight Frank were closest with its suggestions.

Knight Frank correctly estimated that the UK annual rent growth for 2016 would stand at 2.3%. Belvoir, Savills and the Royal Institute of Chartered and Surveyors were also fairly close-all predicting a rise of 3%.

Official data from the Office of National Statistics reveal that rents did indeed rise by 2.3% during 2016.

However, KIS’ own analysis of 20 regions in the North East shows that rents in the area rose from an average of £554 in December 2015 to £591-an increase of 5.9%.

The list below shows how many firms and peers suggested rental growth would rise by in the last year:

  • Knight Frank – 2.3%
    •  Belvoir – 3%
    •  Savills – 3%
    •  Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors – 3%
    •  Countrywide – 3.5%
    •  JLL – 4.5%
    •  Price Waterhouse Coopers – 5%
    •  Hamptons -5.5%
    •   Property Commentator Henry Pryor  (interviewed by Zoopla) – 6%
Who was closest with their predictions for rental growth in 2016?

Who was closest with their predictions for rental growth in 2016?

Fantastic forecasting

Ajay Jagota, managing director of KIS Group, noted: ‘If we’ve learned one lesson from 2016 it’s that predicting anything is asking for trouble, but if these figures are anything to go by property experts are doing a much better job of foreseeing the future than professional pollsters do at election time.’[1]

‘The average rent rise prediction in the forecasts we’ve revisited was 3.9%, and although we’re the first to admit that that figure isn’t exactly scientific, it does appear that industry consensus at the start of the year was pretty close to the 3.1% Homelet recorded at the end,’ he continued.[1]

Concluding, Mr Jagota said, ‘A big thing to take away from these figures too is that although rents are rising, they aren’t rising as quickly as even some of the experts think. As things are, the market is giving a good deal to both tenants and investors and policy makers should be cautious about pursuing any measures which could jeopardise that.’[1]

[1] http://www.propertyreporter.co.uk/landlords/last-year%E2%80%99s-rental-predictions-who-got-it-right.html

Notorious Landlord Issues New Lettings Criteria for Tenants

Published On: January 9, 2017 at 9:35 am

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Categories: Landlord News

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Arguably Britain’s most notorious landlord, Fergus Wilson, has caused yet more controversy by issuing a new lettings criteria for tenants.

The notorious landlord, who previously owned around 1,000 rental properties across Kent, is said to have issued the new criteria through his letting agent, Evolution.

The notorious landlord, Fergus Wilson, and his wife, Judith

The notorious landlord, Fergus Wilson, and his wife, Judith

The controversial criteria have been posted on a Facebook page for residents of Ashford, Kent, where some of Wilson’s portfolio is based.

Last year, the notorious landlord sold half of his property portfolio at auction, claiming that the age of the amateur landlord is coming to an end. He referred specifically to tighter lending criteria for buy-to-let landlords.

But it appears that the controversial investor is still very much in business.

His new lettings criteria ban the following tenants:

  • Those with children under 18-years-old
  • Single parents
  • Tenants on housing benefit
  • Single adults
  • Plumbers
  • Battered wives
  • Smokers
  • People with pets
  • Low income workers
  • Zero hours workers

Wilson’s statement concludes: “Not all tenants on benefits are a problem, but all problems are on benefits.”

While many landlords have their own rules regarding benefits, smoking and pets, Wilson’s strict list is likely to cause great offence amongst renters in the area.

And although Wilson is said to have sold many of his rental properties to overseas investors, tenants are most probably hoping that he finally sells the rest of his portfolio and is no longer operating in Kent’s private rental sector.

Landlords, what do you think about the latest news from the notorious landlord? Do you yourself enforce such a strict lettings criteria for your properties?

There are many ways that you can ensure your property is protected, regardless of the type of tenant occupying it. Remember that you must act responsibly and stick to the laws of the private rental sector when letting to any tenant. Our free monthly newsletter will keep you up to date with any changes: www.34.207.192.121/register.

Landlord told to repay over £39,000

Published On: January 6, 2017 at 2:59 pm

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A buy-to-let landlord who failed to gain a licence for a property in London has been told to repay nearly £40,000 after being taken to court by Islington Council.

The Council made the call to reclaim to money it paid to Landhouse Ltd in housing benefits relating to a HMO. This came after the firm admitted to renting out the property without the sufficient HMO licence.

Inspections

Environmental health officers from the council conducted an inspection of the property and found it to be overcrowded and poorly managed. There were a number of fire hazards present throughout the property.

During a hearing at the Property Chamber, London Residential Property First Tier Tribunal, the landlord was told to pay £14,140 in both costs and fines. This was alongside repaying the council £39,022.52 in housing benefits, relating to the period when the flat was rented without a licence.

Landlord told to repay over £39,000

Landlord told to repay over £39,000

Now, Landhouse Ltd has applied for a licence, but is still liable to repay the benefit, which will be returned to a central Government housing benefit consolidation fund.

Councillor Diarmaid Ward, Islington Council’s executive member for housing and development, said: ‘More and more people rent privately in Islington and we’re committed to helping make sure they have decent homes to live in. We will take action when landlords do not keep within the law and as this case shows the costs can be very significant.’[1]

[1] https://www.landlordtoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2017/1/landlord-ordered-to-repay-39-000-rent

 

 

Landlord Ordered to Repay £39,000 in Housing Benefit

Published On: January 6, 2017 at 11:12 am

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Landlord Ordered to Repay £39,000 in Housing Benefit

Landlord Ordered to Repay £39,000 in Housing Benefit

A buy-to-let landlord who failed to obtain a license for a House in Multiple Occupation (HMO) in London has been ordered to repay £39,000 in housing benefit, following action taken by Islington Council.

The council ordered Landhouse Ltd, which rented out the HMO, to repay the money it had paid in housing benefit, after the firm admitted to letting the property without the correct HMO license.

Islington Council’s environmental health officers had conducted an inspection of the property, finding it to be overcrowded and badly managed. In addition, fire hazards were uncovered throughout the property.

In a hearing at the Property Chamber – the First-tier Tribunal for London Residential Property – the landlord was ordered to pay £14,140 in fines and costs, as well as repay the council £39,022.52 in the housing benefit claimed during the period when the property was rented without a license.

Landhouse Ltd has now applied for a license, but is still liable to repay the benefit, which will be returned to a central Government housing benefit consolidation fund.

Councillor Diarmaid Ward, Islington Council’s Executive Member for Housing and Development, comments on the case: “More and more people rent privately in Islington, and we’re committed to helping make sure they have decent homes to live in. We will take action when landlords do not keep within the law, and, as this case shows, the costs can be very significant.”

If you rent out a HMO, be aware that you are required to obtain a license from the local council. The Government has made it incredibly easy for landlords to gain a license for their property – simply enter the postcode of the property you require a license for at: https://www.gov.uk/house-in-multiple-occupation-licence

To avoid facing hefty fines and even imprisonment, remember to stick to the law governing the private rental sector. Signing up for free access to our handy guides will ensure that you have all the information you need: /guides/

Rise in limited company applications recorded

Published On: January 6, 2017 at 10:55 am

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Categories: Finance News

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The latest Mortgages for Business’ Limited Company Buy to Let Index shows that a rising number of landlords are looking to incorporate to overcome tax alterations.

Additional Stamp Duty charges for buy-to-let purchases, the phasing out of income tax relief and other changes saw the number of investments from limited companies rise in the final quarter of 2016. These purchases increased by 6% when compared to Q3.

Rises

This figure is substantially higher than the 21% seen before the alterations to tax relief were unveiled in July 2015. This shows that a rising number of buy-to-let landlords are taking action to avoid being stung by the greater tax costs facing them.

By incorporation, landlords can still offset finance costs against rental income.

David Whittaker, managing director of Mortgages for Business, noted: ‘The sharp increase in purchase applications made by landlords using a limited company structure is unsurprisingly given the financial incentive to do so and it is encouragingly to see growing numbers of landlords approaching their investments intelligently.’[1]

‘With the changes to tax relief set to be phased in from April 2017, this trend is unlikely to be reversed any time soon,’ he continued.[1]

Rise in limited company applications recorded

Rise in limited company applications recorded

Applications

Despite the growth of the number of applications made via limited companies, lenders catering to this market remained static between the reporting periods. Only 14 offered products to limited companies.

Mr Whittaker concluded by saying: ‘Although many mainstream lenders do not yet have an offering for investors using limited companies, many smaller lenders have significant expertise when it comes to servicing this part of the market.’[1]

[1] https://www.landlordtoday.co.uk/breaking-news/2017/1/sharp-rise-in-limited-company-buy-to-let-applications

Prime London House Prices Pulled Down by Taxes and Brexit

Published On: January 6, 2017 at 10:14 am

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Prime London house prices were pulled down by higher taxes and apprehensions over the Brexit vote last year, as vendors accepted more realistic offers, according to estate agent Savills.

But while owners of prime London properties were forced to rein in their expectations, housebuilder Persimmon reported rising revenues from sales of less expensive homes across the UK.

Savills reports that prime London house prices dropped by 6.9% last year, while in the capital as a whole, values declined by 4.9%.

However, the agent believes a collapse in property sales had slowed, as sellers adjusted asking prices to reflect increases in Stamp Duty and the slowdown caused by Brexit.

Prime London House Prices Pulled Down by Taxes and Brexit

Prime London House Prices Pulled Down by Taxes and Brexit

Lucian Cook, the UK Head of Residential Research at Savills, says this helped to ease the slump in sales volumes seen since April, when the 3% Stamp Duty surcharge for additional homes was introduced, which triggered a rush to complete on transactions.

He explains: “After that peak, you had a lull in transactions, which was compounded by Brexit, leading to a very slow summer market. Since the vote, we’ve seen a further softening, but, in the post-summer period, there have been progressively improving transaction levels.

“Sellers became much more realistic on price, as they adjusted to the market reality.”

The amount of £1m homes sold in 2016 was down by 21% annually, according to data firm Lonres. However, this represented a strong rebound from the three months to July, when sales volumes slumped to half of 2015 volumes following the Stamp Duty hike.

Sales of £5m homes in the 11 months to the end of November proved more resilient, at 17% lower than 2015, reports Savills, with transactions equalling £3.7 billion.

And the most expensive homes, worth more than £20m, resisted any downturn at all, with £1.4 billion spent on sales in the first 11 months of the year, compared to £1 billion the year before.

The 6.9% decline in prime London house prices was not, claims Savills, as steep as the 9% fall it predicted earlier in the year.

Nevertheless, Cook warns vendors that they should not see improved conditions as an indicator that prices are due to rise again.

“Improved transaction levels are the result of adjusted pricing, and should not been seen as a precursor to price rises in the foreseeable future,” he insists. “High Stamp Duty rates and the uncertainty created by negotiations to leave Europe will still need to be factored into expectations on value.”

Savills expects prime London house prices to remain stagnant for the next two years, as values have dropped by 12.5% since December 2014, when the Government increased Stamp Duty on the most expensive homes.

While Savills reported lower prime London house prices, housebuilder Persimmon enjoyed rising revenues, as the availability of mortgages helped to boost prices for less expensive homes.

The firm’s average selling price rose by 4% to £206,700, boosting its sales by 8%, to £3.1 billion, while legal home completions grew by 599, to 15,171.

“Sales reservations through the autumn season were strong, with healthy customer demand for new homes,” says the firm. “Buying a new build home remains a compelling choice, supported by competitive mortgage offers, which continue to make a new home purchase very affordable.”